Just for those who don't care about the definition of "move-titles" or "exclusives" (Come on guys, we spent too much time doing this)
Here are the number of millionsellers for some consoles:
PS2: 222
PS3: 62
Xbox 360: 98
Wii: 83
So the HD twins combined could not match the PS2 in number of million sellers so far.
For move pushing the number of million sellers on the PS3, the PS Move needs to sell at least more than 1 million. Common sense, right? But there is hardly a game with a attach rate of 1 (except Wii Sports in some areas, because of bundles). A attach rate of 0,25 would be quite huge (Halo on the original Xbox for example). So a 4 million userbase is a MUST to create at least SOME million sellers. and remember, some might pick up two PS moves to play with some buddies. Those don't count, because you still buy one game, not two.
So the PS Move won't do anything this year in terms of million sellers. So in early 2011 we MIGHT see the first PS Move million sellers (except the bundled one). To achieve this the PS Move needs to sell 1 million every month, starting today. Actually more than a million, because there are people picking up two controllers for some coop stuff.
The number of million sellers missing to overtake the PS2 is 150. Even if there really IS a 10 year lifecycle, which is stupid PR from both sides, MS and Sony, The PS3 needs to have 25 million sellers every year. Or slighlty more than 2 every month. Or one every 2 weeks. The PS Move won't do the trick. So, no.
And for your interest no console this gen will do this. The Wii has the userbase, but the lack of well-selling 3rd party support.
Of course the Jailbreak on the PS3 won't increase software sales either.
This analysis was free.
Imagine not having GamePass on your console...










