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Forums - Sales - How long will 360's winning streak last?

 

How long will 360's winning streak last?

8 weeks (i.e. this is the last week) 20 8.62%
 
9-13 51 21.98%
 
14-18 55 23.71%
 
19-23 30 12.93%
 
24-28 11 4.74%
 
29+ 65 28.02%
 
Total:232

if 360 had japan aswell it will last maybe till December when Wii will kill every console... But without japan maybe Later/middle November...

Wii in holidays kick asses we all know that shouldnt be very different this holidays... only if move and kinect are a sucess... not impossible.



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kowenicki said:

not sure... GT5 launch?


Maybe, but do you think games this far into the console lifecycle will move that much hardware? I'm not sure to be honest, but GT 5 seems to be the PS3's only chance. I think the Wii will stay low until one out of two things happen;

1: Holiday season, its going to be big for the Wii no matter what and it will sell the most consoles again for the holidays.

2: A price cut. Like last year, all though the price cut in and on itself actually didn't have a big impact, NSMBWii really helped drive the insane sales last holiday season.



This thread is awfully quiet. One of few 360 threads that Sony fans ignore.



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I can possibly see the Wii or PS3 winning the occasional week but the 360 should comfortably win the majority of them. Who knows though strange things could happen between now and christmas.



360 will remain on top till the holidays. 

WIi is probably gonna outsell it by at least a million in december. 



Not a 360 fanboy, just a PS3 fanboy hater that likes putting them in their place ^.^

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I voted 29 weeks plus, and I'll list my reasons.

- Microsoft has still to release the 360 Slim Arcade in Eurpe and Japan, and that boasted sales by about 40k a week in Americas. So in the next few weeks I think it will still go up.

- I feel that the 360 Slim Arcade needs at least 12 weeks to die down in popularity on it's own, nevermind with any boasts the console may get in sames. So that on it's own is November-December time at least.

- In September Microsoft is launching Halo: Reach along with Halo: Reach special edition 360 Slims, that should boast sales a bit.

- In October Microsoft is launching Fable 3 and Kinect (late October to my knowledge), so that will boast sales

-For a week in Novemeber PS3 MAY see stronger sales then the 360. It's probably 40/60 decision for me, but I side with the 360 because I really think the Slim model on it's own will boast sales and popularity this fall, and Kinect comes out a few days before GT5 (to my knowledge, but I keep hearing in forums that Kinect has a Novemeber release. I thought it was like October 28th)

-Then after the holidays, it's anyones guess, I think the 360 will still hold dominant sales until March-April, but Gears 3 will give it a little boast to May.

Consecutivly, I don't think the 360 Slim will outsell the PS3 Slim week on week for as long as the PS3 Slim outsold the old 360 SKU mainly because Sony has a Slim PS3, not an old SKU. I also do think there is a serious chance that Gran Turismo 5's launch will boast PS3 sales above 360 sales for a week or two. However since Kinect comes out before GT5, I don't think that will happen baised on the popularity of Kinect. After the holidays, it's simply a matter of how long 360 can consecutivly hold dominant sales over PS3, it's likely to break one week in 2011, maybe Killzone 3 weekm but that game doesn't sell that well anyway. After Gears 3, I have absolutly no clue what will happen, I think 360 will be the dominant system until E3 2011, but I don't think it will consecutivly outsell the PS3 in 2011, and it will be close.



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I really really cannot say. Too many conflicting factors between another two consoles, the slow down of the revision boost and game/console releases.



Tease.

weird that people think halo reach is gonne sell massive amounts of x360's   even thou there are already 2 halo games.

but gt5 wont sell that much ps3 even thou there is noo normal gt game.

 i expect at least 100k ps3 sales in gt5 japanese launch.



Machina said:
hiroko said:

weird that people think halo reach is gonne sell massive amounts of x360's   even thou there are already 2 halo games.

but gt5 wont sell that much ps3 even thou there is noo normal gt game.

 i expect at least 100k ps3 sales in gt5 japanese launch.


ioi is currently estimating that Reach will push over an extra 100,000 consoles in America in the first month.

@Machina why?



Machina said:

And, before someone (there's always one) points at the DS, I'm just talking about home consoles here.


Anyway, it's been in the lead for 8 weeks back-to-back so far. The question is - how many weeks will it win, in total, in a row (including those 8 weeks)?


Rewind a few months and I would've said that, until the next generation kicks off, the Wii would have always been in 1st, with the exception of a handful of weeks punctuated by major events for the other 2 (a huge exclusive, or price cut, etc.), but it's been 8 so far; more than I ever expected.

Can the 360 carry on through to the holidays, with the help of the Arcade launchy in Europe, Reach and Kinect? Will Wii even be able to reclaim its crown come the holidays as most expect? Or will it actually be the PS3, thanks to the release of GT5, that ends to streak... for a week or two at least?

My own predictions: Unless I'm missing something major or a price cut is announced for one of the other consoles, yes I think it can maintain the lead, albeit a diminishing one, up to the holidays. That'll be thanks to the European Arcade, Reach and then eventually Kinect. I'd also put myself  in the camp that think Wii is an unusual beast during the holidays, and that it will reclaim 1st place at some point during that time period, although exactly when I have no idea. And no, I don't think GT5 will put PS3 in 1st place for the week, purely because that's also Kinect's American launch week (had it not been then I think GT5 would have done it).

So I'll go for early December some time, which puts me in the 24-28 range, which sounds ridiculously high to me, but that's what I end up with.

I firmly beleive one reason the 360 has maintained a steady 5 million lead over the PS3 ( slightly above or below that over the last 4 yrs but close to that level overall ) because the 360 is clearly more of a 'gaming platform'  PS3 fans can disagree, but these number dont lie..

Going to the VGchartz DataAnalysis> Software Totals..

Choose to list 1000 games per page and choose worldwide to list all titles.. This will show all games for PS3 & Xbox 360 and their total sales..

*Xbox 360-library= 642 titles .... total number of games sold worldwide= 388.01 million 

*PS3---------library= 484 titles .... total number of games sold worldwide= 262.09 million  

Thats a WHOPPING total of 126 Million (more) games sold on the xbox 360 ( 7.4 BILLION US Dollars in sales more in software sales the 360 - this is why console numbers don't mean always mean alot because software is where the money is made !! ), to make matters even more pressing, that number in the 360's favor - would be much higher in the 360's favor when you consider how many people pirated games over the last 5 years on the 360!   Up until now the PS3 hasn't been vulnerable to that, but that seems to be changing.