135k ? That's not Media Create numbers, MC has Wii Fit at 261k...

@ Mrstickball

Wow, I loved that, someone finally put JL in his place. I feel all warm and tingly inside

While I was skeptical I bothered to go throught the thread, again, and John is correct.  In a later post he says,

'I need to clarify that post because it can interpreted in too many ways.

I submit that Wii Fit's 1st week in Japan will match and surpass Halo 3 1st week worldwide (there's no question about Wii Fit beating Japan's Halo 3 total).

And for further confirmation I submit that when all 1st week regional launches of Wii Fit are tallied up WITH the 1st week Japan figure that it will underline the trumping of Halo 3 saleswise.

I really wanted to say Wii Fit 1st week worldwide beats Halo 3 1st week worldwide but the launch dates are staggered. In all truth this is my source statement only adjusted to reflect the realities of the staggered launch.'

So while John was DEAD WRONG on Japan > Halo WW, he may save face by being correct on WW 1st week Wii Fit > WW Halo 3 1st week.

Personally, I have always agreed with John in principal but often not in practice (IE: Wii could sell 500m, but won't).  At the time I said he was wrong on Japan > Halo WW due to Nintendo having neither the capacity nor balls to produce that many WiiFit boards.  I now submit the same is true for WW sales launch as well.   But I still hold, that John is right. WiiFit WILL be a force to be reckoned with unlike anything seen prior. And people here will soon be saying 'It shouldn't be counted 'cause it's not a VG' and they'll be half-right.

hunter_alien said: johnlucas said: nordlead said: you people can't hang john lucas yet. It released the 1st, the sales data is only for the 1st. He still has 6 days left for 1 week to actually pass. He did state specifically that it was 1 real week, not 1 sales week. so it only needs to sell 3.5 million in 6 days That's right. Besides the prediction in full was about Wii Fit worldwide all 1st weeks combined. I simply specified Japan accounting for the staggered launch. Even if Japan fails on me the prediction is still on until Wii Fit releases in all territories. I'll only be eating a couple of black feathers instead of the whole bird. Prediction is still on. John Lucas  Keep on dreaming ... it will never do as much as H3 did in the US in first week , and it deffinatly wont have a  massive launch week in Others ... the game is IMO partially a flop ... only time will tell how much can its legs drag the game ... lets dont forget , it could be the next Nintendogs in the same time :)

 Can you justify that claim on any real level or are you just spouting more fanboy nonsense? How on earth did this game flop? It only sold 90% of the stock in two days. What a huge dissapontment! I am certain Nintendo regrets making so many of these units with that terrible sell rate!

 I guess you are just looking forward to the future. We all know these types of games are notorious for selling in quick bursts and then disappearing from the charts forever, especially in Japan. What would make it not a flop next week? Does it have to sell every last unit to be a success, or do you just want the Wii to fail?

@mrstickball - Based on the above, I agree with JL. He's theory hasn't been proven wrong 'yet' - not entirely. So hold off on the anti-JL ranting until he's been totally disproven.

@JL - To be fair, I'd say you should adjust your sig to say you were wrong (barring 3.5m Japan sales for the remainder of the week) about Japan and add an amendment for WW WiiFit> WW Halo 3

I'll adjust it on the 8th. Japan is wrong but I'll update the sig on the 8th.

Thanks for detailing what I said in my original Wii Fit prediction thread a few posts ago. I'm not counted out quite yet. Selling over 250,000 in just 2 days is impressive for such a costly & sizable package.

I'll need somebody to help me break down the individual days for next week's tally. Two days will run into the next week after that which would make a 9 day total instead of a 7 day total.

Oh & speaking of crow. Here's something the vaunted Mr. Stickball said in that very thread about Wii Fit's impact. Pay particular attention to that last line.

Hmmm. Really now.

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=11136

There's wrong and then there's wrong.

John Lucas

You,re right!

Only the way wiifit managed to marked our spirit...it's already a success story.

Nintendo know it now...watch the supply arrives...its gonna be huge!

@mrstickball
this was your most emotional post ever.
i've never expected that you can be so unfriendly.

sure JL will fail with his Japan prediction but he will write it in his signature on the 8th

the worldwide prediction can be possible. maybe the chance is very small be we have to wait for it.

maybe you take it so serious because halo 3 is on x360 but i think that everyone here knows that halo 3 is a great game.
for me it is very interesting to see a game like halo 3 fighting with a new kind of "game" like wiifit.

Exactly. There's a huge difference between predicting 13.5m for H3, a game that will surely hit the 8m mark in its lifetime minimum vs. predicting 3.5m in first week Japanese sales for a game that looks like it will have a hard time breaking 200k. One is ~70% over while the other is ~1500% over.

While you claim that you will own up to bad predictions, that last line makes me wonder. Instead of eating your crow, you're stalling (wait for the 8th!) and then comparing Stickball's rather reasonable (though also wrong) prediction that WiiFit wouldn't sell out to your bat-shit crazy prediction that the game would trump H3 sales in its first week.

Even in your sig you pretty much blame VGCs inaccuracies for a bad prediction.

So, what is it, John? You don't seem quite so ready to eat crow as you constantly claim.