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Forums - Sales - How many PS3 games will break the 10 million sold barrier?

 

How many PS3 games will break the 10 million sold barrier?

0 0 0%
 
1 319 38.48%
 
2 203 24.49%
 
3 112 13.51%
 
4 44 5.31%
 
5 or more 151 18.21%
 
Total:829

Hard to tell really as you don't know what is around the corner. Sony could get some huge title as an exclusive again i.e GTA5. Unlikely but you never know.

But as it stands i think MW3 will deffinatly get over 10m.

I think those thinking GT5 will break that are being pretty wishful thinking. Racing games are no longer as popular as they were. FPS games are more generally liked. To think a racing game, even the best racing game of all time could sell more then Modern Warfare 2 is just crazy in my opinion. I think GT5 will end up around the 8m mark. Which is still very impressive.



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Michael-5 said:

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 has currently sold 8.37 million units, so it's 1.63 million units away from the 10 million unit mark. It's still selling about 40,000 units weekly, so at this rate, the game will need a little over 40 weeks to break the 10 million barrier. However a sequel is comming out in I beleive 12 weeks? Okay it's not a direct sequel, but it will severly cut Modern Warfare 2 numbers, and by next fall a proper sequel will come out.

Maybe Modern Warfare 2 will break 10 million units sold, but 1.63 million is a lot of units, thats basically how many units Battlefield: Bad Company 2 sold to date on the PS3 (It  sold 1.73 million units to date).

wow you write so muchhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

and why the hell are you comparing to BFBC2 and what do you want to prove????????

I'm a big racing fan, and Gran Turismo isn't necessarily the best racing franchise.

what the hell do you even want to say by that?????????

and even if you don't think its not the best,this is a sales thread not quality judging thread

The point I want to make here is that the 360 has many good-great racing games. Project Gotham Racing 3 and 4, Forza Motorsport 2 and 3, Test Drive: Unlimited are all great racing games, all of which getting higher then 8.5/10 scores, with Forza 3 getting as high as 9.2-9.5 scores. For the period of time from 2005-2010 fall, a portion of the Gran Turismo fans may have switched over.

oh yeah they switched to NFS too on the PS2 but they stil bought GT4

I own Gran Turismo 1-4, and I played them extensivly, Forza is a proper compeditor, and why would I wait for GT5, the only good PS3 simulation racing game, when I have many alternatives on the 360?

even KILLZONE,RESISTANCE are proper competitors but people just run behind HALO

and if you won't wait doesn't mean everybody else won't wait

and for your info GT5P has been released so there has been a good game even if it was a demo and a pretty big one,better than your 'ALTERNATIVES' atleast for its time and still one of the best

Also wait for the best? Right now the best racing simulator is Forza 3, and it's been out for almost a year already. GT5 may get slightly higher ratings, but for the amount of time it took to produce, I don't think it's worth it.

it isn't about you here

Also, Sony doesn't have an official PS3 racing wheel. How can you say GT5 is going to be the best, when there isn't even a proper steering wheel for the game? Yes Logitec make steering wheels, but only on table mounts, and placing it on your lap is uncomforitable (You have a wedge near your crotch, between your legs). This is a big reason why I can see a lot of hardcore racing fans switching over. You can't play GT5 and Forza 3 with a standard controller and complain about which one is better.

you wil see this November

As for competition, you have to realize that a lot of casual PS3 gamers will get Gran Turismo 5, and with Mario Kart being over 3 times as popular (in terms of sales) then ever before, Gran Turismo has more competition. Yes Forza has improved drastically in quality from Forza 1, but thats not the only competition.

LMAO

"Mario KART to cut GT5 sales"

And yes it has been 5 years. Gran Turismo 4 came out in early 2005, and in december of 2004 for Japan. So it's actually almost 6 years. No matter how good the game is going to be, it's not going to be significantly better then Forza 3, and therefore not worth the wait to me. For me, I actually beleive Forza is a better franchise then Gran Turismo, and I can name many reason why. No stupid licencing, no repeating races in the same to to generate enough cash to advance, simulation damage on all cars (GT5 has cosmetic damage on 200 cars), licenced Porsches (Porsches in GT5 are not sold under the Porsche name, but under a tuning company name such as RUF), more race tracks, real time tire deformation, etc.

you are so confident that this world revolves around you

and PS3 was released in 2006 so the game has only been due since its launch not from its previous release and they never announced a release date before the MARCH 2010 release

"simulation on all car".........lmao

aren't you forgetting that forza has way lesser cars and other stuff and detail.

you try so hard,try relaxing sometime

Mind you GT5 is an awesome game, I'm not trying to put GT5 down, I love Gran Turismo, and I plan to buy a copy down the road. It's going to be a big system seller, and an amazing game. Just to balance things out here are reasons why GT5 is better then Forza 3: Better interior graphics, interior rear view shows in car rear window and back seats, shadows are created by a fixed light source in GT5 (in Forza shadows move baised on your cars position, but do not take into account shadows of hills and other vehicles), 16 car racing (not 8), double the cars, rally racing, etc.

WOW,You try to act so innocent and goody goody but pulling down the game and then saying good things about it so that people don't see the real you



Solid_Snake4RD said:
bonkers555 said:

I voted 2 earlier but now think about it a little bit more I will have to say 0.  I will say that MW2 have the best chance but GT5 will fall short.  Looking at the Pre-Order numbers for GT5 it looks kinda embarrassing for a Sony #1 (GT5) exclusive vs M$ #1 exclusive (Reach) to have such a BIG gap.


embarrasing?

yeah it looks embarrasing when previous GT games also hadm low preorders and did do well and HALO only has one game as high as GT main games

Lyrikalstylez said:

Why do people constantly think GT5 will sell crazy....Its not, I bet around 2 million


you're correct

 

So are you saying pre-orders aren't an important part of the process or you can't judge a games excitement level from them?  Another question, did they even have pre orders back then?  Possibly for GT4 but I am almost certain they didn't for the others.  So to be honest you can't base anything on past pre-orders for GT.



"If you've got them by the balls their hearts and minds will follow."

Quote by- The Imortal John Wayne, the original BADASS!

 

 

 

damndl0ser said:
Solid_Snake4RD said:
bonkers555 said:

I voted 2 earlier but now think about it a little bit more I will have to say 0.  I will say that MW2 have the best chance but GT5 will fall short.  Looking at the Pre-Order numbers for GT5 it looks kinda embarrassing for a Sony #1 (GT5) exclusive vs M$ #1 exclusive (Reach) to have such a BIG gap.


embarrasing?

yeah it looks embarrasing when previous GT games also hadm low preorders and did do well and HALO only has one game as high as GT main games

Lyrikalstylez said:

Why do people constantly think GT5 will sell crazy....Its not, I bet around 2 million


you're correct

 

So are you saying pre-orders aren't an important part of the process or you can't judge a games excitement level from them?  Another question, did they even have pre orders back then?  Possibly for GT4 but I am almost certain they didn't for the others.  So to be honest you can't base anything on past pre-orders for GT.



It is a fair point. While traditional pre-orders have been around for a longtime they were more in line of going to your local shop, writing your name down, and then coming back to pick it up on release. In the past 5 years or so times have changed a lot. The internet age has brought in online shopping. Online shopping has been around a longtime. Ebay started in 1996. But it is only recent that is has got to the levels we now see today. Nearly everyone now has a pc and internet. And to pre-order stuff sometimes online gives you bonus things. I would imagine maybe 99% of pre-orders for games are now done online. For various reasons like free stuff or simply because the price is cheaper then in store.

To say pre-orders don't matter is just fanboyism. It is damage control, simple as that. The reality is you can gauge how well a product will do based off of it's pre-orders. Not just games but all items. If you look at game shops today online you see they advertise heavily things that have not come out yet. Games/Devices that are yet to launch. Like with Kinect. Some stores such as GAME are mass promoting it and trying to give you incentives to pre-order. By raising your awareness of the product means more potential money for them to make. If they can hype something up and convince you to buy it then they will get paid. That is why you see when games get released they normally then move onto the next thing.

Pre-orders give us an idea of how well something is going to sell in it's first week. It doesn't mean we know what it will do lifetime. But history of games shows us that if you want to sell 10m units then you have to hit the floor running in terms of sales. We know this because we have the data here on this website to show that. Mario Kart, New Super mario bros, MW 2, Halo 3 are the only games this gen that are not bundled with a console to sell 10m units. They all have something in common. They all sold roughly over 2m units in their first week. A lot of games had around or even above a 2m opening and never got to 10m. Games like FFX, GTA4, WOTLK etc etc.

And like wise games that have had high pre-orders have gone on to sell little in stores onced released. To use the recent release of Starcraft 2 as an example. Prior to release it had 796k pre-orders in US. Then in it's first week it sold 912k in US. A difference of just 116k. Or to put that into a better figure; 87% of first week Star Craft 2 sales were from pre-orders. To use another example, Modern Warfare 2. The biggest selling game on HD consoles. If we use the 360 version we see prior to release it had 1.86m pre-orders in US. Then in it's first week it sold 3.2m in US. A difference of 1.34m. Meaning nearly 60% of MW2 first week sales were from pre-orders. Even if you do the PS3 version you see prior to release MW2 had 748k pre-orders. It then sold 1.645m in it's first week. A difference of 897k. Meaning nearly 50% of MW2 on PS3's first week sales were pre-orders.

So as said, to think pre-orders don't bare any importance is just silly and totally false. 

 



damndl0ser said:
Solid_Snake4RD said:
bonkers555 said:

I voted 2 earlier but now think about it a little bit more I will have to say 0.  I will say that MW2 have the best chance but GT5 will fall short.  Looking at the Pre-Order numbers for GT5 it looks kinda embarrassing for a Sony #1 (GT5) exclusive vs M$ #1 exclusive (Reach) to have such a BIG gap.

 

yeah it looks embarrasing when previous GT games also hadm low preorders and did do well and HALO only has one game as high as GT main games

So are you saying pre-orders aren't an important part of the process or you can't judge a games excitement level from them?  Another question, did they even have pre orders back then?  Possibly for GT4 but I am almost certain they didn't for the others.  So to be honest you can't base anything on past pre-orders for GT.

pre-orders are important but not always and not with all games

NSMB Wii had way less pre-orders but it did much more than MW2

they didn't track pre-orders back then but you can know when the opening is only 2m whereas now opening are bigger and still GT4 and many other games went on to sell more than the ones that had higher pre-orders

actually i can,if you are on this site and been tracking sales for long times you get to know the different patterns



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Solid_Snake4RD said:
damndl0ser said:
Solid_Snake4RD said:
bonkers555 said:

I voted 2 earlier but now think about it a little bit more I will have to say 0.  I will say that MW2 have the best chance but GT5 will fall short.  Looking at the Pre-Order numbers for GT5 it looks kinda embarrassing for a Sony #1 (GT5) exclusive vs M$ #1 exclusive (Reach) to have such a BIG gap.

 

yeah it looks embarrasing when previous GT games also hadm low preorders and did do well and HALO only has one game as high as GT main games

So are you saying pre-orders aren't an important part of the process or you can't judge a games excitement level from them?  Another question, did they even have pre orders back then?  Possibly for GT4 but I am almost certain they didn't for the others.  So to be honest you can't base anything on past pre-orders for GT.

pre-orders are important but not always and not with all games

NSMB Wii had way less pre-orders but it did much more than MW2

they didn't track pre-orders back then but you can know when the opening is only 2m whereas now opening are bigger and still GT4 and many other games went on to sell more than the ones that had higher pre-orders

actually i can,if you are on this site and been tracking sales for long times you get to know the different patterns


What exactly do you mean here, I have no idea what you can?  Are you saying you can say that pre-orders aren't important?  If so see Hyruken's post directly above yours.  He hit the nail on the head.

I was going to type out a long drawn out post about the importance of pre-orders and first week sales, but thankfully Hyruken did that for me.  I agree with pretty much exactly what he has said and he worded it so elegantly :D  Thank you Hyruken you saved me at least 5-10 minutes thinking that up!

The way things work now days is so much different than when GT4 hit the street.  A majority of "Hardcore" gamers exclusively pre-order online to get a better deal or something free.  And you can all but tell how well a game will do by its first week of sales.  

"NSMB Wii had way less pre-orders but it did much more than MW2" There is a couple huge reasons that this happend:

1)  Casual gamers.  You know who they are, the ones who never pre-order games and mostly own a Wii.  Simply put there are vast numbers of them on the Wii, not so much on the PS3 or Xbox 360.  

2) Brand Recognition.  Mario is simply the best known and loved gaming figure in the industry.  Like it or not, GT5 has no where near the brand recognition or loyalty that Mario does.  Mario has sold more consoles and video games than any other character.  

Have any other "recent" games done what NSMB Wii has done, without pre-orders.  I don't think so, unless it was Wii Fit or something else casual.  I am not trying to put down GT5, I am just realistic when it comes to sales.  So many people around here think its going to sell a bajillion copies and when it doesn't those same people here will wonder why.  

(If it does go on to do more than 10 million I will eat my crow well done and you can say I told you so, but I don't think that will happen). 




"If you've got them by the balls their hearts and minds will follow."

Quote by- The Imortal John Wayne, the original BADASS!

 

 

 

I think 1 or 2. Modern Warfare 2 could hit 10million but this is unlikely due to the fact that Black ops is nearly out. Gran Turismo 5 might hit that mark, but it could be awhile in its lifetime. The Pre-orders are kinda awful in america, but im not sure how it is doing in japan and europe



I am one of the 1 million that pre-ordered Halo: Reach...Are you?

I think fightning over which console is better is stupid, they are both good consoles with some ups and downs.

damndl0ser said:
Solid_Snake4RD said:
damndl0ser said:
Solid_Snake4RD said:
bonkers555 said:

I voted 2 earlier but now think about it a little bit more I will have to say 0.  I will say that MW2 have the best chance but GT5 will fall short.  Looking at the Pre-Order numbers for GT5 it looks kinda embarrassing for a Sony #1 (GT5) exclusive vs M$ #1 exclusive (Reach) to have such a BIG gap.

 

yeah it looks embarrasing when previous GT games also hadm low preorders and did do well and HALO only has one game as high as GT main games

So are you saying pre-orders aren't an important part of the process or you can't judge a games excitement level from them?  Another question, did they even have pre orders back then?  Possibly for GT4 but I am almost certain they didn't for the others.  So to be honest you can't base anything on past pre-orders for GT.

pre-orders are important but not always and not with all games

NSMB Wii had way less pre-orders but it did much more than MW2

they didn't track pre-orders back then but you can know when the opening is only 2m whereas now opening are bigger and still GT4 and many other games went on to sell more than the ones that had higher pre-orders

actually i can,if you are on this site and been tracking sales for long times you get to know the different patterns


What exactly do you mean here, I have no idea what you can?  Are you saying you can say that pre-orders aren't important?  If so see Hyruken's post directly above yours.  He hit the nail on the head.

no i didn't say pre-oders don't matter

just saying that they matter in some cases and not so much in other cases

i didn't read his post,it was too bulky and wall type

The way things work now days is so much different than when GT4 hit the street.  A majority of "Hardcore" gamers exclusively pre-order online to get a better deal or something free.  And you can all but tell how well a game will do by its first week of sales.  

yeah we can have an idea of what it will do first week but nowhere near the figure itself just an estimate

for example uncharted had low pre-orders and it sold almost double first week

and we don't know how well game will sell further along the line

"NSMB Wii had way less pre-orders but it did much more than MW2" There is a couple huge reasons that this happend:

1)  Casual gamers.  You know who they are, the ones who never pre-order games and mostly own a Wii.  Simply put there are vast numbers of them on the Wii, not so much on the PS3 or Xbox 360.  

sure

2) Brand Recognition.  Mario is simply the best known and loved gaming figure in the industry.  Like it or not, GT5 has no where near the brand recognition or loyalty that Mario does.  Mario has sold more consoles and video games than any other character.  

mario is big  but not the biggest,yeah when userbase is there the casuals just hop on but i don't agree with it being the best and biggest.i certainly wasn't in GC era

GT5 doesn't have as much brand recognition but it doesn't need to sell 10m as mario much more than that

abt loyalty,GT has alot of loyalty.i would be concerned more about mario as casuals don't give shit about loyalty

abt mario selling more console and games,mario has also been milked to death and has more games than anyother franchise and about console,we can't say whats sold nintendo console and maio alone can't be given credit as wii sports old more than NES than MARIO helped selling

Have any other "recent" games done what NSMB Wii has done, without pre-orders.  I don't think so, unless it was Wii Fit or something else casual.  I am not trying to put down GT5, I am just realistic when it comes to sales.  So many people around here think its going to sell a bajillion copies and when it doesn't those same people here will wonder why.  

it is realistic for GT5 to sell high

even you would agree it will sell atleast 5m as GT5P did

MORE OVER IT WILL HAVE A MUC BIGGER OPENING THEN gt5p so already its more and then it will get bundled

(If it does go on to do more than 10 million I will eat my crow well done and you can say I told you so, but I don't think that will happen). 

your prediction you decide



Solid_Snake4RD said:

damndl0ser said:

What exactly do you mean here, I have no idea what you can?  Are you saying you can say that pre-orders aren't important?  If so see Hyruken's post directly above yours.  He hit the nail on the head.

no i didn't say pre-oders don't matter

just saying that they matter in some cases and not so much in other cases

This is true, however it usually matters more for "Hardcore" games than it does casuals.  And I think most around here would consider GT5 as "Hardcore".

i didn't read his post,it was too bulky and wall type

The way things work now days is so much different than when GT4 hit the street.  A majority of "Hardcore" gamers exclusively pre-order online to get a better deal or something free.  And you can all but tell how well a game will do by its first week of sales.  

yeah we can have an idea of what it will do first week but nowhere near the figure itself just an estimate

for example uncharted had low pre-orders and it sold almost double first week

Uncharted was a new IP I wouldn't expect it to have a shit load of pre-orders so that example is probably not the greatest.

and we don't know how well game will sell further along the line

"NSMB Wii had way less pre-orders but it did much more than MW2" There is a couple huge reasons that this happend:

1)  Casual gamers.  You know who they are, the ones who never pre-order games and mostly own a Wii.  Simply put there are vast numbers of them on the Wii, not so much on the PS3 or Xbox 360.  

sure

2) Brand Recognition.  Mario is simply the best known and loved gaming figure in the industry.  Like it or not, GT5 has no where near the brand recognition or loyalty that Mario does.  Mario has sold more consoles and video games than any other character.  

mario is big  but not the biggest,yeah when userbase is there the casuals just hop on but i don't agree with it being the best and biggest.i certainly wasn't in GC era

Even during the GC era Mario was their flagship and the GC wouldn't have survived as long as it did.  

Name one bigger gaming character than Mario?  Just one...  GT5  or Wii Sports aren't characters they are brands their is a difference.  Possibly Zelda but I doubt it.  And yes Mario is milked to death and I pretty much hate him now.  But as a kid I loved him and I would imagine a lot of the children growing up have the same type of feelings for Mario as I did.

GT5 doesn't have as much brand recognition but it doesn't need to sell 10m as mario much more than that

?  You were using NSMB Wii in your earlier post as an example of not needing pre-orders I just turned it around a little.  No one needs to sell 10million but its always good.

abt loyalty,GT has alot of loyalty.i would be concerned more about mario as casuals don't give shit about loyalty

Mario just proved its Brands worth and consumer loyalty  with NSMB didn't it?  I am fairly certain Nintendo is too busy printing money than to worry about how well Mario is doing.  All I can think of is that gif where the Nintendo head guys were printing cash.

abt mario selling more console and games,mario has also been milked to death and has more games than anyother franchise and about console,we can't say whats sold nintendo console and maio alone can't be given credit as wii sports old more than NES than MARIO helped selling

Sure we can, Nintendo was founded on the back of Mario.  Yes the Wii has went a different route, but Mario built the company.  And still sells consoles, my uncle bought a Wii just because of Mario and he is 45 years old.

Have any other "recent" games done what NSMB Wii has done, without pre-orders.  I don't think so, unless it was Wii Fit or something else casual.  I am not trying to put down GT5, I am just realistic when it comes to sales.  So many people around here think its going to sell a bajillion copies and when it doesn't those same people here will wonder why.  

it is realistic for GT5 to sell high

even you would agree it will sell atleast 5m as GT5P did

I believe it will sell under 8 million units probably closer to 6.5 to 7, which is a shit load.  And even though it took a hundred years to make it will turn a very healthy profit.

MORE OVER IT WILL HAVE A MUC BIGGER OPENING THEN gt5p so already its more and then it will get bundled

What do you think it will do its first week?

(If it does go on to do more than 10 million I will eat my crow well done and you can say I told you so, but I don't think that will happen). 

your prediction you decide

 

This got turned into another GT5 thread and that was not my intent.  I am done with Gt5 talk for today.  Cheers.





"If you've got them by the balls their hearts and minds will follow."

Quote by- The Imortal John Wayne, the original BADASS!

 

 

 

Cypher1980 said:

Zero

It would take the game to sell to over 25% of all PS3 owners. Given that a proportion of people use their PS3 exclusively for Blu Ray movies I think even GT5 will struggle.


that would be in no more ps3s sold.  Since more are selling it won't need to have that high of an attach ratio. 

 

I think 2 at least.  MW2 will be able to.  I doubt it will suddenly stop selling when the next cod comes out, it may take another year but time is on it's side.  GT5 is likely but there is a possability it won't.  Then there is always the possability of some other game being a huge hit, a 10 million hit is unlikely but possible.