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Forums - Sales Discussion - Is It Possible For GT5 To OutSell Halo Reach Lifetime?...I Think So!

BHR-3 said:

to bad hes banned that would be a cool bet to win id take it if i was you war machine, doubt he'll accpet it though

 


indeed, he clearly in this thread showed he doesn't know what GT5 is offering, and how big this franchise is...



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FantasySky said:

first week reach will completly obliterate gt5 but in the long run gt5 will do that gt always does. sell on and on and on without fail. im not shore if gt5 is gona be able to beat gt3 cos that was just ridiculas numbers


not really

HALO will do 4-5m first week

GT5 will do around 2-3m



hudsoniscool said:
yo_john117 said:
thismeintiel said:
yo_john117 said:
thismeintiel said:
yo_john117 said:
thismeintiel said:
Halo_Reach said:
Solid_Snake4RD said:
mundus6 said:
Halo_Reach said:
Solid_Snake4RD said:
Halo_Reach said:

 

 

How do you know what Halo 3's pre-orders were in America?   

And even if what you say is true then you must mean 12 weeks and not 5.....and trust me its gonna sell 650k pre-orders in 12 weaks EASY.

Because MS announced on Aug. 9th '07 that pre-orders for Halo 3 had hit 1 mil in America.  This was 7 weeks from launch.  So for Reach to hit this milestone it will have to get ~ 616K pre-orders in the next 5 weeks.  Sorry, but I just don't see that happening.  And I meant 6 weeks in my previous post.

Damn how many pre-orders were there for Halo 3?!?!  

Can I have a link please?  Cause that would've meant Halo 3 had almost 2 million pre-orders and should have sold as much as MW2 first week

http://www.gamepro.com/article/news/128448/halo-3-breaks-pre-order-records-at-1-million-sold/

I don't recall a final number of pre-orders, but I would imagine it would have been between 1.5 mil and 1.8 mil (MW2) by the time of release.

Thats weird that Halo 3 had just about as many pre-orders as MW2 but sold over 1 million worse.

i think its because the differance in install base. when halo 3 launched there were like 18 million consoles and when MW2 like 40. so most likly if halo reach were to pre-order a little less then 3 it will still probably outsell it first week

MW2 had a bigger name too





It's possible but it might not since this is a different generation of gamers then when the other GT's sold so much... GT 3 was the height in sales for GT... can it do that again? No it definitely won't... can it do 8-11 million... possibly... GT "HAD" a huge fanbase but are they still willing to support it about 5 years later? That's where my doubt is.

So maybe.



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Again i feel i need to point out the whole "360 doesn't do well in europe" thing is bollocks.

With this weeks numbers we could see 360 outsell PS3 for the year in europe. That shows europe is very much a 50-50 place.

However in UK which is the biggest region for games and last gen was major pro Sony has changed to pro 360. GT games sell loads there. The fact Sony is no longer the cool thing there will have an impact on GT5 sales. This will be the first time a GT game has released on a format where it is not the main selling console. In fact it will be the format in last place at the time. Again that will have an impact on sales.

As others have mentioned GT3 came out soon after the console was launched. GT4 had around 140m consoles to sell to and sold less then it's predacessor. Meaning that more consoles doesn't always mean more sales but also meaning a game released later in the consoles cycle doesn't always mean higher sales too.

The exact same thing also apply's to Halo Reach. It is being released later in the console cycle and with more units to sell to. Doesn't mean it will sell more then Halo 3. Personally i don't think it will beat Halo 3's numbers. I think it will have a bigger opening then Halo 3 but come up a little bit short overall. I expect 10m for Reach. Based off of the sales from US and UK. We know from the tracking that it is going to sell well. It will have well over 1m pre-orders with over a month to go. Making it the highest pre-orderd game ever most likely.

People use the whole "it is tracking alongside MW2" thing but how much longer will you be able to say that?

Next week marks the point when GT5 reaches the 12th week mark. At that point MW2 started to be tracked. Each week from that period on MW2 had over 20k pre-orders each week. And then in the next month it never dropped below 40k. Meaning next week GT5 needs to start doing 20k pre-orders or it will begin to fall away from MW2 numbers. At that point people won't be able to say it is tracking alongside MW2.

It seems to me that the whole defence of GT5 numbers is based around the MW2 comparison and that in europe it will sell millions. Europe has changed since the last GT game. To give you an example of that. Last gen by the time of GT4 released in UK alone PS2 had sold 7.5m units. This time around PS3 has sold only 3m units. A difference of 4.5m units. Which again will make a huge difference to GT5 sales. And as mentioned above the MW2 comparison will bite the dust in the next couple of weeks.

So no, logically GT5 will not sell as much as Reach. It will sell very well. Probably around the same 8m mark MW2 is at on PS3. But it won't sell above that mark. More people are interested in FPS games then Racing games, it is as simple as that.



iWarMachine said:

Lifetime, GT5 will have more legs than Halo...besides...Halo has a lot of competition this year...with Call Of Duty Black Ops and Medal Of Honor....


i'm on board with this



iWarMachine said:

So much crow eating in this thread...i've to bookmark it...

ok, here goes my prediction:

Low End                                                             High End

Gran Turismo 5 America Japan Europe Total America Japan Europe Total
1st Week 800.000 600.000 1.400.000 2.800.000 1.000.000 800.000 1.500.000 3.300.000
2nd Week 300.000 100.000 600.000 1.000.000 600.000 200.000 750.000 1.550.000
3rd Week 200.000 50.000 200.000 450.000 300.000 100.000 500.000 900.000
4th Week 150.000 50.000 150.000 350.000 150.000 80.000 250.000 480.000
5th Week 110.000 20.000 120.000 250.000 100.000 40.000 220.000 340.000
6th Week 110.000 50.000 140.000 300.000 120.000 50.000 250.000 420.000

i'm doing some research for halo:reach.

 

the thing about Gran Turismo Series is that the game has strong sales in every region, while Halo Series is best in America.

those look like good numbers for gt5, ill be interested to see your reach numbers, and if you consider movment in preorders for them.

I think both will be over ten million, but i have no idea who will be on top, in my mind it comes down to who jumps to next gen last if both games are of the quality i think they are. as ive said in the forums before any movement to a new gen before 2012 will be a disaster for not only the console that does it but, could cause a gameing fallout on par with the early 80s  crash.



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goddog said:
iWarMachine said:

So much crow eating in this thread...i've to bookmark it...

ok, here goes my prediction:

Low End                                                             High End

Gran Turismo 5 America Japan Europe Total America Japan Europe Total
1st Week 800.000 600.000 1.400.000 2.800.000 1.000.000 800.000 1.500.000 3.300.000
2nd Week 300.000 100.000 600.000 1.000.000 600.000 200.000 750.000 1.550.000
3rd Week 200.000 50.000 200.000 450.000 300.000 100.000 500.000 900.000
4th Week 150.000 50.000 150.000 350.000 150.000 80.000 250.000 480.000
5th Week 110.000 20.000 120.000 250.000 100.000 40.000 220.000 340.000
6th Week 110.000 50.000 140.000 300.000 120.000 50.000 250.000 420.000

i'm doing some research for halo:reach.

 

the thing about Gran Turismo Series is that the game has strong sales in every region, while Halo Series is best in America.

those look like good numbers for gt5, ill be interested to see your reach numbers, and if you consider movment in preorders for them.

I think both will be over ten million, but i have no idea who will be on top, in my mind it comes down to who jumps to next gen last if both games are of the quality i think they are. as ive said in the forums before any movement to a new gen before 2012 will be a disaster for not only the console that does it but, could cause a gameing fallout on par with the early 80s  crash.

damn, i've yet to do my Halo:Reach numbers. i think i'll post both predictions in their respective thread. ^^



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This is Simple.

GT5 wont even sell half of what Reach is going to.

Enough said.