NO.

No
It will be tighter than you think. You say 3.9 million but those December consoles won't make it, the November ones will be dropped shipped as it is. So that leaves 2.1 Million by your estimate as a minimum. At most I would sy they had a 1 million more from previous months production.

So in order to make it some of those December units will have to make it out which is slim and WiiFit needs to rouse the Japanease market enough to get them to buy all those consoles siting on shelves. So unless they average 400,000 units a week in Japan, it's not gonna happen.

I feel bad because I was confident that they were underestimating with their predictions. They need to be at 18 million year end and ship the full 1.8 million a month in Jan-Mar to meet their predition. I think they will make 18 million barely.

If supply weren't an issue I would debate your calender a bit.

It is 5 weeks and 2 days not 5 weeks. And November has a week left in it. So the Wii will probably move 2 million in November putting it at 15.5 Million. Another 4.5 in December would be a ratio of 2.25 which is history says consoles will move in the holiday ramp up without supply constraint.

No.

While Nintendo might have JUST enough of a shipment to reach 20 million, you have to remember that it's spread out across the world. Millions of those consoles are in Japan and likely won't be sold out.

Wii Fit will likely be incredibly successful, but it won't push the Wii right out the door, so there will be many unsold Wiis in Japan this Christmas while the Wii remains sold out in America and PAL.

No. It could hit 30 mil if there was supply, but... lots of unhappy wii wanters expected....

No. Around 17.5-18 I think.

No, although they need to at least double their production if they are expanding into other areas of the world.

NO.

The demand easily exists but supply is too tight.

18M is highly probable. 19M is possible and doable. Beyond that though is probably not going to happen for another month or so.

Mike from Morgantown

No, but close.

Possible because Nintendo stockpiled during the whole year... its not like they are so narrow-minded to think of the next 4 weeks only...

We´ll see but its possible.

MAYBE, probably NO.

They would have to sell at about 4 times the rate they are selling now. I say maybe because Wii Fit launches tomorrow in Japan, and we also all know the buying frenzy that is XMas, particularly in the US.

We shall see...