No
It will be tighter than you think. You say 3.9 million but those December consoles won't make it, the November ones will be dropped shipped as it is. So that leaves 2.1 Million by your estimate as a minimum. At most I would sy they had a 1 million more from previous months production.
So in order to make it some of those December units will have to make it out which is slim and WiiFit needs to rouse the Japanease market enough to get them to buy all those consoles siting on shelves. So unless they average 400,000 units a week in Japan, it's not gonna happen.
I feel bad because I was confident that they were underestimating with their predictions. They need to be at 18 million year end and ship the full 1.8 million a month in Jan-Mar to meet their predition. I think they will make 18 million barely.
If supply weren't an issue I would debate your calender a bit.
It is 5 weeks and 2 days not 5 weeks. And November has a week left in it. So the Wii will probably move 2 million in November putting it at 15.5 Million. Another 4.5 in December would be a ratio of 2.25 which is history says consoles will move in the holiday ramp up without supply constraint.
Final* Word on Game Delays:
The game will not be any better or include more content then planned. Any commnets that say so are just PR hogwash to make you feel better for having to wait.
Delays are due to lack of proper resources, skill, or adequate planning by the developer.
Do be thankful that they have enough respect for you to delay the game and maintain its intended level of quality.
*naznatips is exempt
