Wow, a lot of you people are aiming so low, this game should easily sell 800k+ on it's launch week, it has as of now 3x the pre-orders SMG had, it has a month left to increase.
@Grey Acumen
Thankyou, someone's thinking the way I am.
SSBB will do 600k without Sonic, Snake, online mode and all the extra's. It will do 1 million 
| Grey Acumen said: 1,000,000+ One thing that people are forgetting is the different mindset of SSBB compared to SMG. SMG is a single player game, if you don't get it right away, you just pick it up a week or so later, nothing lost. It's not like you're really going to care if one of your friends has already collected 100% of the star bits while you still haven't gotten the game. Smash Bros Melee has a HIGH level of competition, and that's just competing against friends and people that you're sitting right next to. Now you have Brawl that promises to bring that back and then add online multiplayer on top of that. People will be trying to get that as soon as they possibly can to make sure that they have time to learn the system and train up so they don't get pwned in online multiplayer. The popularity of the game, combined with its competitive nature is going to push sales of this game through the roof. |
That line of thinking is for North America and Europe only.
Japan's videogame market is highly casual and don't buy traditional games as quickly anymore.
Mario Galaxy sold 300k first week in Japan, and only after 4 weeks reached 400k. In the US, it sold over a million in half that time.
Brawl will sell a ton, but not as much in Japan.
LEFT4DEAD411.COM
Bet with disolitude: Left4Dead will have a higher Metacritic rating than Project Origin, 3 months after the second game's release. (hasn't been 3 months but it looks like I won :-p )
The only thing that might make Brawl's Japan sales get to your predictions (500k+) is that it's releasing in January, and there's not many other great games coming out in the beginning of the year.
LEFT4DEAD411.COM
Bet with disolitude: Left4Dead will have a higher Metacritic rating than Project Origin, 3 months after the second game's release. (hasn't been 3 months but it looks like I won :-p )
500k.
I'll assume triple preorders won't directly equal triple sales.
Online multiplayer doesn't sound as big as it is in NA than in Japan.
And, my heart says 1 million. My heart also said 500k for SMG.
There is no such thing as a console war. This is the first step to game design.
Well if 750k is good enough for ioi...
But I bet they still have a surprise character or two and will reveal just prior to launch to really build a frenzy so...
850-900k
i know it should do better then mario so i'm gona go with a healthy 650,000 guess
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900,000
smash is HUGE in japan. i looked back at the 2002 charts and melee had sold 1.2 million copies when there were only 1.6 million gamecubes sold!
600k first week is my guess.
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