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Forums - General Discussion - Mafia Round 16 - Brawlsville

KingFate said:
supermario128 said:
dsister44 said:
supermario128 said:
Interesting....

Vote: Falcon

Any reason why? 

Based on all the posts in the thread so far he seems most suspicious to me.

It's a bit premature isn't it?

Yes, yes it is. Maybe he should post more....




Nintendo still doomed?
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Final-Fan said:
I want all you guys to notice that the Hand didn't slap down my idea.

I'm all for the idea. Get to it guys.




Nintendo still doomed?
Feel free to add me on 3DS or Switch! (PM me if you do ^-^)
Nintendo ID: Mako91                  3DS code: 4167-4543-6089

supermario128 said:

Yes, yes it is. Maybe he should post more....

I would like to say the same of you but unless you're a bad guy, it can't be good for us



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Falcon095 said:
supermario128 said:
Yes, yes it is. Maybe he should post more....

I would like to say the same of you but unless you're a bad guy, it can't be good for us

I'm not sure I understand what you're saying.



Tag (courtesy of fkusumot): "Please feel free -- nay, I encourage you -- to offer rebuttal."
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My advice to fanboys: Brag about stuff that's true, not about stuff that's false. Predict stuff that's likely, not stuff that's unlikely. You will be happier, and we will be happier.

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I have the most epic death scene ever in VGChartz Mafia.  Thanks WordsofWisdom! 

I feel like voting for nikkels, he said he doesn't like nintendo, its obvious he's with the subspace, dooming us all!




              

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Sorry, my internet was down all yesterday. A repairman was just here, and I am good to go now! I'll read up and post in a bit.



Switch Code: SW-7377-9189-3397 -- Nintendo Network ID: theRepublic -- Steam ID: theRepublic

Now Playing
Switch - Super Mario Maker 2 (2019)
Switch - The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening (2019)
Switch - Bastion (2011/2018)
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Final-Fan said:
Falcon095 said:
supermario128 said:
Yes, yes it is. Maybe he should post more....

I would like to say the same of you but unless you're a bad guy, it can't be good for us

I'm not sure I understand what you're saying.

He's saying Mario should talk more. Unless he is on our side, which would only bring us down :P



Stefl1504 said:
I kind of feel like voting for Falcon095... he feels so untrustworthy with his "dog" avatar

Don't go by this logic.  In part, that thinking helped screw the town in Round 15B.



Switch Code: SW-7377-9189-3397 -- Nintendo Network ID: theRepublic -- Steam ID: theRepublic

Now Playing
Switch - Super Mario Maker 2 (2019)
Switch - The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening (2019)
Switch - Bastion (2011/2018)
3DS - Star Fox 64 3D (2011)
3DS - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney (Trilogy) (2005/2014)
Wii U - Darksiders: Warmastered Edition (2010/2017)
Mobile - The Simpson's Tapped Out and Yugioh Duel Links
PC - Deep Rock Galactic (2020)

SuperAdrianK said:
I feel like voting for nikkels, he said he doesn't like nintendo, its obvious he's with the subspace, dooming us all!

I have a little voodoo doll of Miyamoto. Yesterday I reversed over it in a truck.



For a game with 13 people, I think it is most likely that there are 3 mafia.

3 mafia × 3 = 9 townies

9 townies + 3 mafia = 12 players

4 mafia × 3 = 12 townies

12 townies + 4 mafia = 16 players

Assuming one lynch per day and one kill per night, we can find the possible mafia win scenarios.

  Starting Players Action Ending Players Possible Outcome Starting Players Action Ending Players Possible Outcome
Day 1 13 No Lynch 13   13 1 Lynch 12  
Night 1 13 1 Kill 12   12 1 Kill 11  
Day 2 12 1 Lynch 11   11 1 Lynch 10  
Night 2 11 1 Kill 10   10 1 Kill 9  
Day 3 10 1 Lynch 9   9 1 Lynch 8  
Night 3 9 1 Kill 8   8 1 Kill 7  
Day 4 8 1 Lynch 7   7 1 Lynch 6 Possible End
Night 4 7 1 Kill 6 Possible End 6 1 Kill 5  
Day 5 6 1 Lynch 5   5 1 Lynch 4 Possible End
Night 5 5 1 Kill 4 Possible End 4 1 Kill 3  
Day 6 4 1 Lynch 3   3 1 Lynch 2 End
Night 6 3 1 Kill 2 End        

Notice that with the 'no lynch' scenario the town gets 5 lynches, and the mafia gets 6 kills.

With the 'first day lynch' scenario the town gets 6 lynches, and the mafia gets 5 kills.

Keep in mind this doesn't take into account any possible serial killers, vigilantes, day vigilantes, blocked night kills, or double lynches.

Another thing to note in the 'no lynch' scenario is that with a second 'no lynch' somewhere along the way or a blocked night kill, the town makes it to Day 7.

Now, as mafia in Round 15A, I used a chart like this to decide to be in favor of a Day One no lynch, and fight against the second no lynch that eventually did happen.  Of course in that round, I kept this information to myself.  As a pro-town player this round, I would like to see a Day One lynch.  We would still have the option in the event of a blocked night kill, to decide to no lynch the next day to extend the game to Day 7.  I want to see everyone's opinion on this.



Switch Code: SW-7377-9189-3397 -- Nintendo Network ID: theRepublic -- Steam ID: theRepublic

Now Playing
Switch - Super Mario Maker 2 (2019)
Switch - The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening (2019)
Switch - Bastion (2011/2018)
3DS - Star Fox 64 3D (2011)
3DS - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney (Trilogy) (2005/2014)
Wii U - Darksiders: Warmastered Edition (2010/2017)
Mobile - The Simpson's Tapped Out and Yugioh Duel Links
PC - Deep Rock Galactic (2020)