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Forums - Sales Discussion - The Official March 2010 NPD Thread (Data for 5 weeks ending Apr 3 2010)

I preparing for an impending meltdowns here or party time.



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SaviorX said:
Should prove interesting. Shortages came to an end this month.

Did they for the Wii?



Currently Playing: Shin Megami Tensei: Devil Survivor Overclocked, Professor Layton and the Curious Village

Anticipating: Xenoblade, The Last Story, Mario Kart 7, Rayman Origins, Zelda SS, Crush3D, Tales of the Abyss 3DS, MGS:Snake Eater 3DS, RE:Revelations, Time Travellers, Professor Layton vs. Ace Attorney, Luigi's Mansion 2, MH TriG, DQ Monsters, Heroes of Ruin

kowenicki said:
I'm hoping we are more in line with each other this month (VGC v NPD)... was a very big difference last month.


VGC v NPD last month

Wii over by 30% (121k)
360 under by 17% (70k)
PS3 under by 21% (76k)


March 2009 was an interesting month too

Vgc had PS3 at 324k while NPD reported it as 218k. A overtracking of 106k or 48%.

Will history repeat itself?



Numbers are in PS3 over 500k and GOWIII over 1000k............................
















































j/k



Should be a good one can't wait



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Hyruken said:
Interested to know how Vgc have done in comparison to NPD over the past 12 months?

Well here is the info! I would put it in one of those fancy graphs but i don't know how to do it :(

Please note this is just showing you the results, this is not opinion, this is not saying VGC are wrong or NPD are right.It is just showing results and %. And that is what this website is about right?

So based on the last 12 months results how has each console done in terms of numbers on here compared to NPD's numbers? I only did the main three consoles as to be fair i don't think many care about the handhelds. If they do then by all means do those :)

So here we are

Feb 2010
ps3 - undertracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked

Jan 2010
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked


Dec 2009
ps3 - undertracked
360 - overtracked
wii - undertracked


Nov 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - undertracked


Oct 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - overtracked
wii - overtracked


Sept 2009
ps3 - undertracked
360 - undertracked
wii - undertracked

August 2009
ps3 - undertracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked

July 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked

June 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked

May 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked

April 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - overtracked
wii - overtracked

March 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - overtracked
wii - overtracked

Some %

Based on past 12 months
PS3 overtracked 8 out of 12 months. = 66% chance of overtracking
360 overtracked 4 out of 12 months = 33% chance of overtracking
wii overtracked 9 of 12 months = 75% chance of overtracking


ps3 undertracked 4 of 12 months = 33% chance of undertracking
360 undertracked 8 of 12 months = 66% chance of undertracking
wii undertracked 3 of 12 months = 25% chance of undertracking

Making 360 twice as likely to be undertracked then the other two consoles
and making PS3 and Wii twice as likely to be overtracked then the 360.

Again these are just numbers in comparison to NPD numbers. Neither one is right or wrong, just a comparison.

the frequency of difference is helpful information but that does leave out the extent of the difference. The month's over the over could be really close but the months of the under could be really far off. 



Cool.



Bet between Slimbeast and Arius Dion about Wii sales 2009:


If the Wii sells less than 20 million in 2009 (as defined by VGC sales between week ending 3d Jan 2009 to week ending 4th Jan 2010) Slimebeast wins and get to control Arius Dion's sig for 1 month.

If the Wii sells more than 20 million in 2009 (as defined above) Arius Dion wins and gets to control Slimebeast's sig for 1 month.

Time to face the music. Let's see if I win my bet or not.



I expect NPD numbers to once again have twist, they are always good at it.
I say:

Wii surprises us = Over 700k or 500k

PS3 lower than we expect

360 Staying strong.

GOW3 will be huge, but might be in 5th position.



 Next Gen 

11/20/09 04:25 makingmusic476 Warning Other (Your avatar is borderline NSFW. Please keep it for as long as possible.)

I wonder what would cause a bigger meltdown

Xbox 360 FFXIII > PS3 FFXIII

or

PSP > DS

Both are just as unlikely though.



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey