slowmo said:
GameAnalyser said:
slowmo said:
Sales will plummet when the PS4 and 720 are released so this still will not happen. 90-95 will be the final figure IMO. |
By just looking at how all the early comments in this thread had PS3 written off(some going as far as 60-65 mn lifetime), the current trend would rather continue with a steady decline YOY. By the end of 2016, it would've surpassed 95 mn easily with bigger markets themselves. And way above 100 mn by the time it's discontinued.
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It will not steadily decline and it will not have all the markets to itself like the PS2 did as the 360 will not be discontinued like the original Xbox.
I'm pretty sure those making jibes about others predictions are the same people that predicted the PS3 to dominate and have been wrong for the last 4 years about the PS3 outselling the 360 each year. I love how the price cut will somehow encourage wild sales growth on the PS3 while on the 360 that hasn't had a cut for 4 years it will do nothing.
The only chance the PS3 has is if the 360 continues strongly so it encourages 3rd party developers to keep porting to both. I still think I'm right though as I expect sales to drop below 9 million this year then 5 the years after before dropping sub 3 million and being discontinued in 2016/7. The PS3 will not make money at low prices like the PS2 so it will be discontinued quicker. The above are best cases numbers for me btw, if the price of the new consoles is right then knock another 20% of those estimates.
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Again which makes me want to state things like I did in couple of the other threads. This generation was not about domination. It never was. It was about consoles which competed and Wii came out selling well in the beginning for a gimmick that really clicked among the casual gamers. PS3 caught up from behind in a market hit with recession. A fine piece of revised hardware with exclusives that mattered. FYI PS3 outsold 360 for every fiscal year since 2010.
Why wouldn't the decline be steady? If Sony ever stated they had a 10 year plan, they would make sure it's executed to the fullest possible and they do have a reputation for that by releasing their consoles to more markets than any of the other console manufacturers. Here is also where the price-cut plays a crucial role. With the release of next-gen consoles, a price-cut will matter in the major markets but emerging markets would contribute at a consistent pace for an extended period of 2-3 years.
Are you serious about that statement regarding games being developed would RELY on 360's continuity? And that for a console which is already dead in Japanese market? Irrespective of 3rd party developers porting or not, Sony would know how and where to get developers working for and how to sustain the software sales for PS3 with a unique MMP strategy even with PS4 down the line. They already have a proven track record with both PS1 and PS2. So 360 isn't impeding it any way. And I never said 100 mn by 2016 end, instead >95 mn which is rather too optimistic for now. But >100 mn before it's off market(2017/18). And it wouldn't be as long as PS2, probably a year or two shy.
