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Forums - Sales - Will the PS3 be able to outsell the Wii in Japan any week this year?

 

Will the PS3 be able to outsell the Wii in Japan any week this year?

Yes, in more weeks than last year. 706 54.43%
 
Yes, same amount of weeks than last year. 76 5.86%
 
Yes, but less weeks than last year. 161 12.41%
 
Yes, only once. 29 2.24%
 
No, lol? 137 10.56%
 
I like turtles. 188 14.49%
 
Total:1,297

Hey Tres, when you made this thread did you think the PS3 would only have a few weeks?  Did you think a tie or a PS3 win was even possible?  Pretty nuts.



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Yep, but not this many times. I mean Wii has fallen too low while PS3 has stabilized at a solid number. Things will be real close from now on until both consoles get replacements.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

trestres said:

Yep, but not this many times. I mean Wii has fallen too low while PS3 has stabilized at a solid number. Things will be real close from now on until both consoles get replacements.

Is there anything left at this stage that could create a genuine gap between them saleswise?  Is it possible that one could break away?  It would take a few killer apps or something right? Not likely I guess.



Not anymore. PS3 has a plaethore of Japanese games announced from 3rd parties, Wii not so much. Wii will depend on Nintendo's efforts to remain competitive, while the PS3 has both 1st and 3rd party games to remain at a steady pace.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

NYANKS said:
trestres said:

Yep, but not this many times. I mean Wii has fallen too low while PS3 has stabilized at a solid number. Things will be real close from now on until both consoles get replacements.

Is there anything left at this stage that could create a genuine gap between them saleswise?  Is it possible that one could break away?  It would take a few killer apps or something right? Not likely I guess.


Here's an updated list of upcoming 3rd party games:

Listing all upcoming known games from 3rd party Japanese publishers for the PS3/Wii.

Games that will probably sell over 100k in Japan:

PS3:

  • Ninokuni: Queen of the White Ash (Level 5)
  • Final Fantasy Versus XIII (Square-Enix)
  • Metal Gear Solid: Rising (Konami)
  • Yakuza: Of the End (Sega)
  • Dynasty Warriors 6 (Tecmo-Koei)
  • New Tales of (Namco-Bandai)
  • Winning Eleven 201X (Konami)
  • Devil may Cry (Capcom)
  • Gundam Musou 3 (Tecmo-Koei)
  • Ni-Oh (Tecmo-Koei)
  • Project Dark (From Software)
  • Tales of Graces F (Namco-Bandai)
  • Street Fighter vs. Tekken (Capcom/Namco-Bandai)
  • Tekken vs. Street Fighter (Namco-Bandai/Capcom)
  • Dinasty Warriors Troy (Tecmo-Koei)
  • Final Fantasy XIV (Square-Enix)
  • Asura's Wrath (Capcom)
  • Ace Combat: Assault Horizon (Namco-Bandai)
  • Tekken 7 (Namco-Bandai)
  • Powerful Pro Baseball 201X (Konami)
  • Pro Baseball Spirits 201X (Konami)
  • Shadows of the DAMNED (Grasshopper/EA)
  • Armored Core 5 (From Software)
  • Macross Trial Frontier (Namco-Bandai)
  • Marvel vs. Capcom 3: Fate of the Two Worlds (Capcom)
  • Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software)
  • Catherine (Atlus)
  • Dead Rising 2 (Capcom)
  • Trinity Zill O'll Zero (Tecmo-Koei)
  • Dragon Ball Z: Raging Blast 2 (Namco-Bandai)
  • Naruto: Ultimate Ninja Storm 2 (Namco-Bandai)

Wii:

  • Dragon Quest X (Square-Enix)
  • Inazuma Eleven Strikers (Level 5)

 

Games that will probably sell below 100k (Or may not be released there at all):

PS3:

  • King of Fighters XIII (SNK Playmore)
  • Castlevania: Lords of Shadow (Konami)
  • Silent Hill (Konami)
  • Earth Defense Force: Insect Armageddon (D3 Publisher)
  • Dynasty Warriors Online (Tecmo-Koei)
  • Disaster Report 4 (Irem)
  • Front Mission Evolved (Square-Enix)
  • Devil's Third (Valhalla Game Studios/THQ)
  • Vanquish (Sega)
  • Mind Jack (Square-Enix)
  • Umineko no Naku Koro ni (Alchemist)
  • Virtua Tennis 4 (Sega)
  • Nobunaga's Ambition Online (Tecmo-Koei)
  • Quantum Theory (Tecmo-Koei)
  • Class of Heroes 3 (Acquire)
  • Agarest Senki 2 (Compile Heart)
  • Arcana Heart 3 (Arc System Works)
  • El Shaddai: Ascension of the Metatron (Ignition Entertainment Japan)
  • Majin and the Forsaken Kingdom (Namco-Bandai)
  • Time Crisis: Razing Storm (Namco-Bandai)
  • Deus Ex: Human Revolution (Square-Enix)
  • Dungeon Siege 3 (Square-Enix)
  • Arkaham City (Square-Enix)
  • Highlander (Square-Enix)
  • Splatter House (Namco-Bandai)
  • Enslaved: Odyssey to the West (Namco-Bandai)
  • Never Dead (Konami)
  • Knights Contract (Namco-Bandai)
  • Fortune Arterial (Kadokawa Shoten)
  • Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light (Square-Enix)
  • Clannad (Prototype)
  • Winning Post 201X (Tecmo-Koei)
  • Pachipara Sea Story SLOT (Irem)
  • Pachipara Ginger Paradise 16 (Irem)
  • Def Jam Rapstar (Konami)
  • Dance Dance Revolution Move (Konami)
  • Ben 10: Ultimate Alien: Cosmic Destruction (D3 Publisher)
  • Saw II: Flesh & Blood (Konami)
  • Sekai Saikyou Ginsei Igo: Hybrid Monte Carlo (Magnolia)

Wii:

  • Earth Seeker (Kadokawa Shoten)
  • Sonic Colors (Sega)
  • Kamen Rider: Climax Heroes OOO (Namco-Bandai)
  • Deca Sports 3 (Hudson)
  • Namco Museum Megamix (Namco-Bandai)
  • Active Life: Explorer (Namco-Bandai)
  • Winning Eleven 201X (Konami)
  • The Conduit 2 (Sega)
  • Pacman Party (Namco-Bandai)
  • Anpanman Smiling Party (Agatsuma)
  • The Monkey King (Starfish)
  • 100 Fun Games Party Show (Hudson)
  • Jinsei Game: Happy Family (Takara-Tomy)
  • Def Jam Rapstar (Konami)
  • Dance Dance Revolution (Konami)
  • Ben 10: Ultimate Alien (D3 Publisher)
  • Baby Sitter Mama (Square-Enix)



Platform Count:

PS3 - 71
Wii - 19

Publisher Count (Major Publishers Only):

Square-Enix

PS3 - 9
Wii - 2

Capcom

PS3 - 6
Wii - 0

Namco-Bandai

PS3 - 14
Wii - 4

Konami

PS3 - 9
Wii - 3

Tecmo-Koei

PS3 - 9
Wii - 0

Sega

PS3 - 3
Wii - 2

Level 5

PS3 - 1
Wii - 1

Atlus

PS3 - 1
Wii - 0



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

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Holy Crap........quite a discreapncy there.  How long into the future does this list take into account.  That's incredible.  I mean, I've heard you be somewhat negative on Wii for a while, but damn.  Then again, the slew of Ninty games coming out plus Dragon Quest should do quite a bit for the Wii.  Don't know how big GT is in Japan, so yeah, should remain close. Thanks for staying on top of this Tres, so much infromation... X(



What the hell is this third party madness?



Above: still the best game of the year.

NYANKS said:

Holy Crap........quite a discreapncy there.  How long into the future does this list take into account.  That's incredible.  I mean, I've heard you be somewhat negative on Wii for a while, but damn.  Then again, the slew of Ninty games coming out plus Dragon Quest should do quite a bit for the Wii.  Don't know how big GT is in Japan, so yeah, should remain close. Thanks for staying on top of this Tres, so much infromation... X(


These are all the known upcoming 3rd party games from Japanese devs, it's 2010 and onwards.

Nintendo has a few 1st party games, but outside those the sales trend for the Wii should be a spike upon release of key games and a quick downfall. PS3 has many games to keep HW at a constant rate.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

PS3 could garner up a lead with that support.. especially since it hasn't hit that magical $199 price point



 

mM

PS3 Wins this week by 5k! This means that PS3 is now on top of the Wii in total number of weeks.

19 for the PS3 vs 18 for the Wii

It has also extended the biggest winning streak to 8 consecutive weeks.

Next week's releases:
Week starting 09/23

PS3

- Winning Post 7 2010
- Singularity
- Devil May Cry 4 (Cheaper Edition)
- Atelier Rorona (Cheaper Edition)

Wii

None.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies