With the news that the NS2 price is remaining unchanged in the US (for now), I'd be curious to know which system everyone thinks will sell more in 2025 worldwide (since the US is the biggest market for Nintendo, a price increase would have impacted their worldwide sales negatively).

I personally think it will be really close and I could see them potentially being within 1m of each other. I would give it to NS2 though. 6 months of a new Mario Kart (despite the "controversies") will be huge. MK 8 DX sold 7m in 2017 and was a port (in that first year, being a port likely hurt its sales - I personally didn't buy it until 2019). There's also the potential that they could have maybe one more big exclusive for 2025. Fear of potential price increases in the future could help this year, as well as just general hype because we are finally getting a more powerful Switch.

For PS5, the big question is whether or not GTA VI will still be released this year. I believe it will still make it out in 2025, and probably release around November. As a result, I can see Holiday 2025 being the biggest holiday for PS5, and potentially the first (and last) 10m quarter for PS5.

EDIT: To clear up any confusion, I am referring to Calendar Year 2025 and not Fiscal Year 2025.

EDIT2: Updated to reflect that I am referring to shipments rather than units sold (I always tended to use the word sold when I am actually referring to shipments reported by console manufacturers in their quarterly financial reports).

Switch 2. Japan alone could probably do it.

Switch 2 easily because its a new system and the hype on its own will sell its stock far more than the other platforms.

PS5. 12 months vs 6 months. The only market where PS5 are are showing declining is Japan where its sales were already kinda irrelevant

PS5 should have no issue clearing 17-18 million this year even without GTA release


I don't see how can Switch 2 could sell more than 18 million in 6 months. Switch managed to sell 18 million in second half of 2020, but it had the pandemic helping sales


Now if we are talking about fiscal year ending March 2026, then it's Switch 2 unless GTA releases this year (which I don't think will happen, 2026 looks more likely)

Considering the PS5 has an extra 5 months easily that one though if we just go by June onward then it's an interesting question. The Switch sold a bit over 13m in 2017 though it had an extra 3 months so the Switch 2 could sell less than that in its first calendar year even if its first 7 months are better. Should still likely sell over 12m though and if GTA 6 does make it this year then the PS5 should sell about 18m in total for the year and since it'll be over 4.5m by the end of May it could end up being fairly close though I do lean towards the PS5 if GTA 6 does make it cause in that scenario the PS5's holiday sales should make up for the deficit it'll get from the Switch 2 having a much bigger June unless the latter has a very strong first holiday season.

I don't think the Switch 2 is selling close to 20m in Japan this year lol.

If NSW2 launches to 7mil (as rumblings suggest Nintendo is planning for), then it’ll be caught almost entirely up to PS5’s total figures for the year. If GTAVI releases this year, however, then this will be a very close comparison. Otherwise, it’s going to NSW2.

lol Fair enough. Maybe half of it.

I think I read somewhere they planned to make like 15m at first?
So the Switch 2 is probably not getting much higher than that for 2025.

It depends on how the PS5 sells then.
Will it sell more than that? like say 18m? or something... in that case it should be the PS5.

2026 is without a doubt, the Nintendo year though.

How many Switch 2's are people expecting Nintendo to make and ship this year to vie switch 2? It would have to ship far faster than the Switch 1 to outsell ps5 this year.

Switch 1 shipped roughly 15m in its first 9 months, Switch 2 has 7 months this year.

PS5 will probably sell 18m.

The Switch 1 sold 3.4m in Japan in 2017 with three extra months so about a quarter is more realistic.