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Forums - Sales Discussion - May Circana (NPD) 2023 Thread + Predictions

May 2023 Circana (NPD) covers the four week period from April 30 to May 27 and will be released on June 27.

Be sure to get your predictions in before June 27. Since NPD leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

  1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
  2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
  3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000

Results:

TLDR

Units: NS > PS5 > XSX|S
Revenue: NS > PS5 > XSX|S

YTD Units: PS5 > NS > XSX|S
YTD Revenue: PS5 > NS > XSX|S

Full VGChartz article (Link to the article):

The Nintendo Switch was the best-selling console in the US in May 2023 in terms of units sold and dollar sales, according to figures from Circana (formerly The NPD Group). Circana includes the dates for the four week period of April 30 to May 27.

The amount of revenue spent on Switch hardware reached a new record in May for the platform, while it was the second best May in terms of units sold, only behind May 2020. The Switch saw double digit growth in terms of revenue.

The PlayStation 5 was the second best-selling console in terms of units sold and dollar sales. The PS5 saw triple digit growth year-on-year in terms of revenue.

The Xbox Series X|S was the third best-selling console in terms of units sold and dollar sales.

2023 year-to-date the PlayStation 5 is the best-selling console in terms of both units sold and dollar sales, while the Nintendo Switch is in second in both rankings, and the Xbox Series X|S comes in third.

Overall spending on video games in May was up 12 percent year-on-year from $3.67 billion to $4.12 billion. Spending on video game content increased nine percent from $3.31 billion to $3.62 billion, while video game hardware sales jumped 56 percent from $216 million to $338 million.

Overall spending on video games in 2023 year-to-date is up less than one percent from $21.77 billion to $21.83 billion. Spending on video game content decreased two percent from $19.10 billion to $18.73 billion, while video game hardware sales is up 23 percent from $1.76 billion to $2.16 billion.

"May 2023 U.S. consumer spending on video game content, hardware and accessories totaled $4.1 billion, a 12% increase when compared to a year ago," said Circana Executive Director and Video Game Industry Analyst Mat Piscatella. "Spending gains were seen across Content, Hardware, and Accessories."

Piscatella added, "Spending on video game content grew 9% in May when compared to a year ago, reaching $3.6 billion. Console full game and add-on content spending increased 58% when compared to May 2022, offsetting declines across Mobile and PC."

Piscatella on hardware stated the "Switch was the best-selling hardware platform in both unit and dollar sales during May 2023. Consumer spending on Switch hardware reached an all-time May high for the platform, while unit sales were 2nd highest ever for the platform in a May month, trailing only May 2020.

"PlayStation 5 continues to lead the 2023 hardware market across both units and dollars."

The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom was the best-selling game in May 2023 and is already the second best-selling game of 2023, only behind Hogwarts Legacy. This is despite Nintendo not sharing digital sales of its games.

Hogwarts Legacy is up four spots to second place, while Star Wars Jedi: Survivor in its second month fell two spots to third place. Dead Island 2 in its second month on the market fell from second to fourth place.

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare II remained in fifth place, while MLB: The Show 23 dropped three spots to sixth place.

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild saw a bump in sales as it returned to the top 20 in 13th place. 

Here are the top 20 best-selling games in terms of dollars for April 2023:

Here are the top 20 best-selling games in 2023 year-to-date:

Last edited by trunkswd - on 27 June 2023

VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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Switch will definitely be number 1 in unit sales again and I feel like it has a good chance at dollar sales as well this time. My prediction:

Revenue: 360k

[NS] 450k
[PS5] 280k
[XBS] 200k



Try out my free game on Steam

2024 OpenCritic Prediction Leagues:

Nintendo | PlayStation | Multiplat

Xbox will prolly have a better month than the last since they pushed the Diablo 4 bundle heavily. (Unless it hasn't released by May 27th)

Otherwise, the Switch will dominate the units sales due Zelda's presence being so fresh still.

NS - 420K
PS5 - 290K
Xbox Series - 210K



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

The Xbox Sold better than last month for sure but the PS5 should be almost double the Xbox Sales.

NS - 405K
PS5 - 375K
Xbox - 215K



NS 450k
PS5 300k
Xbox 200k



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

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Swiitch - 400k
PS5 - 250k
Xbox - 150k



did the diablo 4 xbox bundle begin in may?? Those were selling out at my walmart fast



Will Circana give real numbers?



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

May Circana (NPD) delayed to June 27.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd said:

May Circana (NPD) delayed to June 27.

Not only games get to get delays.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."