Box Office Predictions? The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

[IcaroRibeiro]

Veknoid_Outcast said:

IcaroRibeiro said:

Assuming good reviews, it will gross 20 to 30% less in USA and Japan. Elsewhere it will gross around the same or slightly worse. 1.1 to 1.2 billion it is

Assuming lukewarm reviews, it will decrease by 40% or more in USA, and 20~30% elsewhere. 800~900 million

Assuming bad reviews, 600~700 million

I dunno. I think a movie like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is review-proof. The original hit 46/100 on Metacritic and went on to gross $1.36 billion.

I don't think there's any way this movie doesn't clear $1 billion.

No movie is review proof. The first one would definitely have grossed a lot more if the reviews were not mixed

The consensus for people who watched is it was mediocre. There will definitely a large audience who will not come back

Deadline is predicting 350 million global opening. My experience following box office is this prediction will decrease a bit, because right now the movie is sitting at only 44% on Rotten tomatoes

I'll stick with my 800~900 million range. Unless the movie indeed open with 350 million, in this case 1 billion is indeed very likely

Last edited by IcaroRibeiro - 3 hours ago