Pemalite said:
curl-6 said:
I find it unlikely that one could guess Direct/reveal dates so consistently based on speculation alone, because there are a LOT of people who try to do this and almost all of them are wrong the majority of the time, yet Nate's hit rate on these remains remarkably high. He's not always right when it comes to leaks, but he's right more often than I'd attribute to luck alone. I don't think it's that far fetched that he might know somebody who does marketing somewhere and so way gets leads that way, for instance. |
I think you are missing the point. - It doesn't matter how accurate a few predictions are.
It's not even about luck. It's about being educated about the subject matter. Aka. Subject matter expert.
Again... A broken clock is right twice a day.
The fact that he has predicted things incorrectly in the past means that he doesn't have a reliable track record. |
I'd say Nate's success rate with video presentation dates goes beyond a broken clock being right twice a day, that might be the case if he got one or two right, but I don't think guesswork alone can plausibly account for him being right about the majority of Direct dates for years, nobody's that good.
Fakers who rely on guesswork and pretend to be leakers like say Nash Weedle have like a 10% success rate, whereas Nate's more like 80-90% for video presentation dates. Whether he knows about games is another matter.
At any rate, we'll just have to wait and see if the next few months show him to be right.
