curl-6 said:
I find it unlikely that one could guess Direct/reveal dates so consistently based on speculation alone, because there are a LOT of people who try to do this and almost all of them are wrong the majority of the time, yet Nate's hit rate on these remains remarkably high. He's not always right when it comes to leaks, but he's right more often than I'd attribute to luck alone. I don't think it's that far fetched that he might know somebody who does marketing somewhere and so way gets leads that way, for instance. |
I think you are missing the point. - It doesn't matter how accurate a few predictions are.
It's not even about luck. It's about being educated about the subject matter. Aka. Subject matter expert.
Again... A broken clock is right twice a day.
The fact that he has predicted things incorrectly in the past means that he doesn't have a reliable track record.

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