Which system will sell more in 2026: Switch 2 or PS5? (Poll reset)

[CosmicSex]

Norion said:

CosmicSex said:

I think its the other way around.  I think the Switch 2 (hopefully getting a boost from Pokemon) needs to estabish a lead now and grow it until November.  Maybe have something in October to mitige September's PS5 momentum.  Combine any lead they have with a nice holiday bundle/discount in November and find shelter when the GTA metor lands and they might be able to pull off a win.  The biggest issue IMO is going to be building a wall high enough that Sony can't breech via Europe.  If Sony has a lead going into Novmeber its over. 

For more context since the equivalent year for 2026 for the PS5 is 2019 for the PS4 it sold just over 4.9m November-December that year and the Switch sold just under 8m that period in 2018 so if the PS5 is behind heading into November it'll likely need to have a holiday season at least as good as 2023 to make up the difference. GTA 6 will make a difference for sure but matching that holiday season will be a tall order since that would be a few million extra consoles sold. It managing to be flat compared to its last holiday season would already be very impressive.

Really good points.  This is of course assuming Switch 2 can match Switch 1's 2018.  For the sake of keeping things interesting I'm gonna assume it lands in that ballpark.  This places the burden squarely on GTA's shoulders.  The fact that a PS5 victory may depend on the greatest entertainment release of all time and still may lose makes this the most interesting match up in quite some time.  Fully team GTA over here if course!