| Norion said: It looks like by the end of March the Switch 2 will have sold a bit more than the Switch 1 had January-March 2018 while the PS5 will be a lot lower than what the PS4 sold that same period so the former has the advantage so far. Assuming there's a big holiday title the Switch 2's holiday season this year would likely crush the PS5's if not for GTA 6 but I doubt that'll be enough to fully make up the gap there. Basically the PS5 probably needs to have a lead heading into November to have a decent shot but it's unlikely it'll be leading by then since Pokopia will give the Switch 2 a lead heading into April. |
I think its the other way around. I think the Switch 2 (hopefully getting a boost from Pokemon) needs to estabish a lead now and grow it until November. Maybe have something in October to mitige September's PS5 momentum. Combine any lead they have with a nice holiday bundle/discount in November and find shelter when the GTA metor lands and they might be able to pull off a win. The biggest issue IMO is going to be building a wall high enough that Sony can't breech via Europe. If Sony has a lead going into Novmeber its over.
