Which system will sell more in 2026: Switch 2 or PS5?

[Norion]

JRPGfan said:

Norion said:

Almost surely the Switch 2. It could sell over 5m in Japan alone this year considering it's not even fully fulfilling demand there yet so that would be a gap of over 4m the PS5 would have to make up elsewhere and Europe could make up a lot but not enough. My high end expectation for the PS5 is 16m and my low end one for the Switch 2 is 17m so I expect a gap of about 2-3m between the two. GTA 6 is huge but it's not gonna prevent the PS5 from declining this year, just significantly soften the decline due to giving the PS5 a really strong holiday.

^ basically this.

PS5 around 16m
Switch 2 ~17-18m.
Xbox Series ~2m.

I think it more likely the Switch takes 2026, even with GTA,SAROS,Wolverine this year for PS5.  

The funny thing is 2m for the Xbox Series is actually very optimistic but the amount its selling is so low now that it doesn't matter whether it sells closer to 1m or 2m this year. It's dead either way.