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Norion said:

Almost surely the Switch 2. It could sell over 5m in Japan alone this year considering it's not even fully fulfilling demand there yet so that would be a gap of over 4m the PS5 would have to make up elsewhere and Europe could make up a lot but not enough. My high end expectation for the PS5 is 16m and my low end one for the Switch 2 is 17m so I expect a gap of about 2-3m between the two. GTA 6 is huge but it's not gonna prevent the PS5 from declining this year, just significantly soften the decline due to giving the PS5 a really strong holiday.

^ basically this.

PS5 around 16m
Switch 2 ~17-18m.
Xbox Series ~2m.

I think it more likely the Switch takes 2026, even with GTA,SAROS,Wolverine this year for PS5.