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PS4 outsold the NS1 in 2018. NS1 first full year.

NS1 had its first Pokemon exclusive, even as Let's Go was lame af. NS2 will have its first Pokemon exclusive too.

PS4 had Read Dead Redemption 2, PS5 may have Grand Theft Auto 6 (I don't believe it, but that's me).
PS4 had Spiderman, PS5 will have Wolverine.
PS4 had God of War, and PS5 is supposed to have a God of War game (albeit not a main one).

It's funny how sockingly similar 2026 will be to 2018 regarding Playstation and Nintendo.

Nintendo comes from a stronger start with the NS2, but had a worse holiday than NS1.
PS5 is 1 year older in 2026 than the PS4 was in 2018, so it would reasonable to expect a similar sales trajetory to 2019, but the release schedule matches 2018 much better.

So again. I think some people may be surprised to how close it might turn out to be.