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PAOerfulone said:

I wouldn't be so sure about the PS5 catching the PS4, even with GTA VI coming out.

This holiday season, especially the month of November, showed that the current asking prices of this generation of consoles is just too much for the casual audience. There's a reason why the PS5's Black Friday deals ended up lasting all the way through Christmas, why retailers were discounting PS5 and Switch 2 at $50 off, much to the chagrin of Sony and Nintendo, and why the PS5 Fortnite bundles on Amazon are STILL going for $50 less than MSRP. $500/550/750 for a 5-year-old system is just too big of a pill to swallow for a lot of the casual audience, who at this stage in a console's life, are the ones who still haven't jumped in and bought the system yet. And with seemingly no end in sight to the RAM price surge, (plus the tariffs), it's not out of the question for Sony to raise the price of the PS5 AGAIN. Microsoft has already done it twice. Nintendo already did it for Switch 1 and they're considering it for Switch 2. There's no reason to think Sony won't do it twice themselves. If that happens, then the system will REALLY have a tough hill to climb.

At this point, GTA VI is just about the only thing the PS5 has going in its favor to drive sales and demand. But there's only so much that one game can do in the face of all these detrimental factors.

PS5 is going to surpass lifetime sales of PS4 in the end pretty much no matter what.

PS6 is 90% likely I would say not to come out until late 2028 or beyond. And whenever PS6 comes out (as early as November 2027 or as late as November 2029), the cross-gen period for software will likely be longer than even PS4 to PS5. Not only that, but I think PS5 will still be manufactured more as despite rising costs I do think there will be a bigger price gap between PS5 and PS6 than there was between PS4 Slim and PS5 Digital. The cheapest PS6 SKU will probably be $750-$800, even if it's a while off. PS5 "Slim" will likely be $400-$550 when it is replaced.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)

Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima