Currently Online 
XtremeBG said:
If the system is not selling enough, even if they produce small amounts, it may not be enough. I mean there is a certain point of amount it needs to be sold and shipped and produced each month and quarter in order to get there even by 2030 if you want. for example if the system is doing 5k per week worldwide for 5 years that's 20k per month roughly and that's 240k per year. That is 1.2M for 5 years, which won't be enough. For example if Switch has shipped 156M by end of March or around that number what was the actual forecast, and ship 157.5M by end of march 2027, then it will remain 2.5M more. Even if Nintendo keeps producing and selling the Switch till let's say march 2030, it will need to sell a certain amount to reach that number for those 3 remaining years. If we divide 2.5M on 36 months we get 70k. So if Switch does not sell average 70k or more per month for those 3 years (if for example the shipments are at 157.5M by march 2027), it won't get to 160M. I wrote similar post before, where my point was the same, since someone also said that if Nintendo keeps producing it it will eventually get there. No, it still may not, cuz even then it depends on what the sales actually are. It needs not only to keep producing it for a few years, but to meet certain level of sales in that time. |
If the forecast is met it'll be at 156.1m though it could be slightly higher or lower depending on how things go. It could take even longer for them to be sold to consumers yeah but if they really cared enough they could ship enough to get to 161m and then stop and then wait how ever long it takes for the remaining stock to get sold. If they did care enough to do something like that though then I doubt they'd have increased the price of it in certain countries a few months ago so I'd be super surprised if they did decide to take this path.
