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Even if the 160m update never happened and 158.7m was still the PS2 total on here things would still be looking bad for the Switch's odds of getting there. Forget 160m, even 159m is looking very unlikely at this point. It looks like it'll hold up relatively well in Japan this holiday but that's not enough to make up for its sales potentially collapsing YoY in the west. December is more important but an 80% drop YoY for Black Friday week in Spain is a really rough data point and the drops are basically guaranteed to be massive in the US this holiday due to the price increase.

At this point I think the only way it beats the PS2 is if Nintendo fully commits to manufacturing enough to beat the record regardless of how low demand gets so they keep shipping low amounts for the next few years to make it barely crawl there eventually. I view that scenario as extremely unlikely.

Last edited by Norion - 1 day ago