UPDATE: Will the Switch 2 Have Legs?

[curl-6]

Xxain said:

curl-6 said:

We know from Nintendo that the large majority of Switch owners are still active users.

In the examples you list like PS2-PS3 or DS-3DS there was always some massive shift that caused sales to drop; so far there is no such shift in the market going from Switch to Switch 2.

It's entirely possible that such a shift does occur, but so far there's nothing.

Here's is one thing that I don't think anybody is considering. Switch also has the edge that unlike traditional home consoles, households tend to have more than one. With Switched rumored to be $400, I highly doubt that families will be repeating that trend especially the economic path that America is headed towards.

Brother. Even if SONY did not fuck up on the PS3 it still would not have reached PS2. Nintendo Wii and XBOX 360 would not doubt would have still taken sales aways. The rise of PC gaming would still have taken away sales. Those things still would have existed with or without. When Switch came out it was the only thing doing what it did. Now we have dozens of these high powered handhelds. Both SONY and MS are hard at work on their own handhelds. Its more than just one major thing. All these little things could add up and instead of Switch 2 at 130mill its not 119mil.

Video gaming has proven itself to be remarkably resistant to economic downturns.

If Sony had nailed the PS3, and competition had remained weak, there's no reason PS3 couldn't have sold close to PS2.

And PC handhelds like Steam Deck pose no threat to Switch 2, those are niche products that have sold only a few million over the few years. As for Sony/MS, there's still no confirmation that they'll actually release handheld consoles, and if they do, such devices could just as easily suffer the same fate as the Vita.

All this is speculation at this point though; so far there's no concrete reason for Switch 2 sales to dramatically decline from Switch.