UPDATE: Will the Switch 2 Have Legs?

[curl-6]

Xxain said:

curl-6 said:

There was nothing one-off about the hybrid form factor though; the Switch 2 will have that exact same convenience and flexibility. If it only sold because it was novel, then sales would have crashed after a few years once it was no longer new and fresh, yet the Switch's legs have been exceptional.

Currently there's no evidence at all for a DS to 3DS drop.

Did I say DS to 3DS drop?(Honest question). CGI-Qualities estimates are mine as well. I do not believe that NINTENDO is going to capture lightning in a bottle TWICE ... in a row. No other console has ever done that with the same "gimmick". Then we have to think about how many of those people who bought Switch because of the cool factor; Do they still use it? Why would Switch 2 pull these people in? Let's look at PS2 to PS3; We know SONY fucked up but in some sense you could look that 90mill PS3s as "actually" PS fans(loyalist). That lost 70mill are users who were not loyal to PS(went to xbox)or those who just bought PS2 because of DVD or Madden

It takes a very unique set of elements to have a console go over 130mill. 

We know from Nintendo that the large majority of Switch owners are still active users.

In the examples you list like PS2-PS3 or DS-3DS there was always some massive shift that caused sales to drop; so far there is no such shift in the market going from Switch to Switch 2.

It's entirely possible that such a shift does occur, but so far there's nothing.