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javi741 said:

Early in this thread, I predicted 16M but im dropping it slightly down to 15M. The Switch is clearly beginning to approach saturation at this point. If Nintendo wants to maintain sales momentum it might be a good time to start price cutting the Switch and potentially release new iterations.

I predicted 12 million in the thread. I still mostly stand by that, but 13-16 million is very possible (if not more so). 

If Switch 2 releases March 2024 (like I predict), 2024 might be under 10 million. 

I think Switch will have a noticeable drop this year because like you said it is approaching saturation. Price cuts and maybe a very affordable TV-only Switch with more storage and a Pro Controller would probably be the only way Switch sells more than !5-16 million in 2023.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 156 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 48 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

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