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padib said:

Hi fam, Nintendo Switch Sports is launching April 29th 2022, and for anyone that remembers the success that was Wii Sports, you probably know that it sold around 82.9M units lifetime (including bundles). Let's make some predictions on how well this game will do opening week, this year and then lifetime.

I think Wii Sports is for multiple reasons not a good comparison, but Wii Sports Resorts is better. It sold 33M. Another good comparison is Ring Fit Adventure, which currently stands at 13M. I don't think Switch captures the same audience in that mass as the Wii did, remember that Wii Sports made it to normal articles outside of the gaming sphere. Switch hasn't that reach, so I think the game cannot sell as much as Wii Sports Resort did. Ring Fit Adventure is a good evolution of Wii Fit (which sold in two iteration over 40M). On the Pro side fro Switch Sports stands, that it doesn't need additional hardware it is bundled with (maybe the leg strap). So I think it can land in the same are as Ring Fit overall, which would be between 15M and 20M lifetime.



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