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I think I'll say 18-19 mil.
I think the majority of Switch owners that were gonna buy it already have and now that that it's no longer in the spotlight I think new adapters of the system are probably more likely to get Arceus, Sword/Shield or even Let's Go.

Major Switch Titles Launch Aligned

2022 predictions:

  • Switch - 24m
  • PS5 - 15.5m
  • Xbox Series - 10m