The_Liquid_Laser said:
You've got to realize why these numbers are declining. It is because Nintendo has taken away little bites during Gen 7 and Gen 8. During Gen 7 the Wii ate into XB + PS sales during the early years, but then a lot of these people came back over to the XBox360 because of Kinect. The result is that the Wii only took a small bite in the end. For the Gen 8 consoles, the Switch took a bite into their sales, mostly during 2019 and 2020. Neither of these systems had great tail end sales. They probably could have avoided this problem by dropping their price below $300, but when the Switch is the same price, it looks like a better buy. Expect Nintendo to take a really big bite this time around. You shouldn't be looking for Gen 9 PX+XB to be up. You should be looking for a big drop. |
I think there is growth possible, and I can explain why. A reason why often the numbers of XBox+Playstation are added for these gens - and not Nintendo - is because Sony and MS are basically carrying out the same strategy and targeting the same market for over a decade. Nintendo instead was trying out different stuff, targeting different customers. There success varied based on the customers they targeted.
This gen a few things change. First of all, even a classic strategy may see growth, as more regions get wealthier and tech gets cheaper, so more regions may be stronger into buying luxury products like games. The overall customer base is growing. I see that happening mostly in Asia, but also south america. The second reason is, that MS changed their strategy. They target Gamepass now, and that may allow them to find new customers, even in classic market regions. I am not sure though how much of them convert to Xbox, or if most of them stick to PC or streaming.
