VGC estimates that the Xbox Series X|S sold through 7.6m by the end of September. Lifetime sales expectations?

[Mnementh]

src said:

Mnementh said:

See, there you lose me. As Xbox Series is selling better than XBox One at the moment, based on your logic I should conclude that PS5 will do worse than PS4. That is not denying PS5 will do better overall, but you recognize PS5 performance compared to PS4, but completely ignore Xbox. I would just keep PS out of the Xbox thread though, because all indications point towards Xbox series selling better than One, despite what PS5 does.

You're mistaking speed as area.

Consoles sold = area. A console could sell faster and yet still sell less overall by the end (like the XB1), which is why I said things like 1st year sales is not a valid projector for LTD (due to accounting for so little of the LTD and often being supply constrained).

I also just showed you how the PS:XB set has been 170-180M for 20 years or so. I don't see that set changing much. So yes, in my model, PS4/5 sales can be a good indicator of XB sales, especially when MS release no XB sales numbers.

You talk about two gens actually. And your argument works for PS5 as well: as you showed a console can start sell faster but overall sell less, so PS5 is bound to sell less than PS4, because it sells faster in the first year.