VGC estimates that the Xbox Series X|S sold through 7.6m by the end of September. Lifetime sales expectations?

[Mnementh]

src said:

derpysquirtle64 said:

Why do you use PS:XB split as a base to predict how Series X|S will perform? Especially considering that right now both Sony and Microsoft sell everything they produce and at least Series X and PS5 both go out of stock the minute they become available. Using this split will not say anything about the demand for both consoles. Why not compare Xbox One vs Xbox Series X|S launch aligned, especially considering that this forum has a dedicated thread that has this data updated weekly and it definitely says way more about real state of things than some vague PS:XB split.

Because PS and XB are the with sets with the least overlap (largely due to their third party support).

PS2+XB = 175M

PS3+360 = 170-180M

PS4+XB1 = 170M

If Playstation makes gains, it usually means Xbox loses out.

Its far more likely that's the case than the overall set for both growing substantially.

What people do not understand about stock. The stock they get from TSMC is decided on their sales potential. There's a reason Sony was given 16M chips and XB 8M. That's the sales expectations. Furthemore, PS5 is stock constrained while selling 16M. XB is stock constrained while selling 8M. All while PS5's have higher resale value. This tells you about expected and received demand.

See, there you lose me. As Xbox Series is selling better than XBox One at the moment, based on your logic I should conclude that PS5 will do worse than PS4. That is not denying PS5 will do better overall, but you recognize PS5 performance compared to PS4, but completely ignore Xbox. I would just keep PS out of the Xbox thread though, because all indications point towards Xbox series selling better than One, despite what PS5 does.