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It's early to say. We're only about six months in. But I'm here anyway, so I'll bite.

I'd say 105 million, barely passing the PS1. I don't see really any way it sells below 95-100 million and almost no way it sells above 120-125 million.

I know it's just about the fastest-selling video game hardware ever (at least in the Americas), but that doesn't mean it will be in the top 3-5 best-selling pieces of hardware ever. The video game hardware market seems to be stabilizing, and will probably start shrinking in the next 5 years or so.

Given Sony's stupid decisions and the growing amount of PC gamers, I don't think PS5 will match the PS4 in lifetime sales.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)

Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima