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I'm gonna get very specific and say September 2022.
I've predicted 27m for the Switch this year and that would put it at 104m by the end of 2021. If that happens it should be able to pass it before the next Holiday.

Major Switch Titles Launch Aligned

2021 predictions:

  • Switch - 27m
  • PS5 - 15.5m
  • Xbox Series - 10m