Mnementh on 31 October 2018
The_Liquid_Laser said:
Mnementh said:
The big things for 2019 are clearly Animal Crossing and Pokemon. Animal Crossing is a franchise that can go 10M - on handhelds, much less on console. As Switch is a hybrid it should sell well. Pokemon is a franchise that recently got 15M. I expect it to sell similar numbers on Switch.
The wildcard for me is NSMBUD. The first two NSMB sold nearly 30M, then franchise fatigue set in. NSMBU sold 5.5M. But Switch-ports of WiiU-software usually do better than on WiiU. So more is possible. Maybe also around 10M? Maybe NSMBUD is a rreason for the lofty 20M goal for the financial year, they expect it to sell more Switches?
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If you add Sun/Moon + Ultra Sun/Ultra Moon it is more like 24m and it's still selling. I wouldn't be surprised if this new Pokemon game sold like that.
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I wouldn't add USUM to SM sales for gauging the possible success of a new Pokemon. It is a second edition and sells also on people double dipping. We could expect something like this, if there will be released a Ultra-version to Let's Go. But I think that is unlikely. Next year we have the next mainline Pokemon, then I expect a remake with the new engine and after that maybe an ultra version for the mainline Pokemon.
3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)
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