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fatslob-:O said:
1. High lead-up times and a long development pipeline means AAA games in particular won't manifest very quickly. It took at least 2 years for most AAA game studios to change their baseline target to current generation hardware so who knows when Switch will catch on to the next release cycles ...

2. Tegra X1 is a low performance chip. By comparison home consoles have higher performance chips and it was specifically the reason why they were successful early in the generation with cross generation projects since doing a rough port meant an IMMEDIATE performance uplift. The same can not be said when porting current generation projects to the Switch along with the fact programmers have to deal with a different hardware architecture such as the Nvidia CPU/GPU ...

3. Switch has a different audience expectations and we can take a look at Japan for an example where many smaller projects which have development conditions sympathetic to the Switch fare far worse in terms of sales performance compared to PS4 ...

The problems with the Switch are currently 3 fold and it's probably not going to get any better for the Switch from this point onward before it get's worse when a new generation is less than 3 years away ... (even smaller projects some of which could target last generation hardware are starting to capitalize on the ubiquitous nature of current generation hardware and that can potentially put the Switch in further jeopardy)

This is mostly right. I agree that western high-level AAA-productions are also unlikely in the future. But mid-tier and smaller games are possible. And Switch is targeted by games usually not on console. It gets a lot of mobile ports. Also a lot of stuff usually on PC makes it's way to Switch, because of the possible mobility the game gains and because of multiple input-methods. The input-methods are the reason for Civilization as a bigger example of one such game. I think Switch can and will thrive on these games, different genres and games than the usual western mostly action and shooter AAA-games.



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