So... Will Nintendo be able to ship those 20 million Switch units?

[Mnementh]

zorg1000 said:

Mnementh said:

Current sales 170K according to VGC. A quarter has 13 weeks. That makes 2.2M, quite a bit lower than your goal of 3.3M. As I said, weekly sales should soon start to improve. Otherwise the holidays have to be spectacular.

We are talking shipments and i said average over 3 quarters. Just like last year, i expect Q1 to be the lowest.

Last fiscal year

Q1-1.96

Q2-2.93

Q3-7.24

Q4-2.93

 

I could see this year being something like

Q1-2.7

Q2-3.3

Q3-10.3

Q4-3.7

The 170K sales figure is already end of May. As I said, with this as average sales we reach 2.2M. But in April the sales were even a bit lower. Given, it will ship more than it sells in the non-holiday quarters, but still not so much. To reach 2.7M I think it should sell 2.5M in the quarter, maybe 2.4M. For this the weekly sales need to increase strongly in June. Otherwise I see Switch missing this 2.7M target. And if that happens, it puts a question mark to these other figures. Except maybe Q4, after Pokemon and Smash I see a strongly increased baseline.