| ryuzaki57 said: Look at the facts : PS4 has a considerably larger and more varied library than Switch, with most 3rd parties considering PS4 audience as their priority target. How can Switch get even close to PS4 userbase in that situation? At best, Switch will attract most Nintendo fans, part of casual gamers who aren't playing mobile and part of the Vita crowd. Without major 3rd party exclusives, Switch sales may even slow down in 2018. |
@Bolded: Just to state the facts: this applies exactly to PS3 and Wii.
@Underlined: 2019 or 2020 would've been sound realistic, but 2018? Which console ever slowed in it's second year on market? Even a dud like WiiU managed to grow from 2013 with 3.1M to 2014 with 3.6M. Only Vita failed that hard, they had 3.7M in 2012 and sales slowed to 3.2M in 2013. But Vita is here the outlier. Looking at coming releases like Pokemon, Animal Crossing and so on, it seems very unlikely the Switch already slows in 2018. That is wishful thinking on your part.







