| fatslob-:O said: Interesting poll statistics ... There's over a 70% confidence rating that the Switch will sell below 50 million units in spite this site's demographics ... |
Yeah. I realized much earlier, that if you ask people for success or failure of a console there are lots of different points of views, but if you ask for numbers they usually are nearer than you expect. Yes, there are always some outliers, but usually in a poll like that you would have a nice bell curve with a clear center. Seemingly if you ask people for raw numbers they do some unconscious calculations, but if you ask them for subjective descriptions they apply different definitions of success depending on their preferences. If you want a device to succeed, you assign unconsciously a lower threshold for success and vice versa.
In this case you have a broad range between 10M and 60M which is nearly on the same level. This is a very unusual result. Seems there is a lot of uncertainty in this case. And many opt for a more conservative estimate.
