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I'm not sure 1st place is cemented yet at all, a price cut from MS in Europe could change the outlook with a very strong exclusive line up to back it up. But Wii U is certainly third. I also don't see PS4 with 50% market share.

The US will belong to X1 soon. I have said all year X1 will win November and December and I suspect Sony will find it very difficult to regain many months afterwards.

PS4 will be above Wii U in Japan comfortably when all is said and done. Persona 5, DQ Heroes, MGSV, Final Fantasy and many more all essentially exclusive.

China will probably be too difficult to get any consistent info from to be interesting