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TWRoO said:
DMeisterJ said:
But this messes everything up. I'm just going to come out and say it. Lots of the users on this site are Wii owners. As we can tell with this weeks DMC4 numbers on PS3, lots are PS3 haters. The average was 120 with some betting as low as ninety thousand, when DMC3 debuted to close to 200k (what I bet). So the average had it low, but in fact it turned out that the average was quite wrong. The problem with that is that some people won't bet with their brain, they'll bet with their heart. And if that happens, the averages of games will be screwed up, and people won't make much money off of it (in contrast to the whole fifty percent thing). Now you're not thinking about how much you think the game will sell, it turns into how much you think the users on this site think that this game will sell, in order to maximize your profiit.

That situation benefits you though... the average is further from the truth therefore you get more $ for being close. eventually those that keep failing and betting with their hearts will run out of cash and not be able to bet... meaning they would have to get better at it.


The people betting with their heart most likely will post much about their favourite game and/or console. So they may make enough vg$ on the forums to fix their losses on the predictions league.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

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