archbrix said:
Well, I'm basing my prediction on a couple of assumptions: Obviously if Microsoft surprises us with a spring/summer launch, WiiU won't have amassed 15m sold by then. And if Nintendo sells it for $599 US DOLLARZ (lol), it would obviously change the outcome. So there's not enough confirmed info yet for me to risk, say, having a penis as my avatar. But assuming that it launches for $299 (or less), I say WiiU will sell at least 15m WW (according to Vgchartz data) in its first full year of availability in all three major regions (NA/Europe/Japan). |
You want a penis-avatar, if you lose? I don't think I like this idea.
Anyways, no risc, no fun. You say you assume $299 or less. 299 €/$ is pretty much in the midst of what is likely, also possible is 320 or 350. I think it is fair to say, the bet is off, if the price is above 350 €/$ or below 250 €/$.
Nintendo launches this time often in all three regions at the same time. But as the launch is likely near to the holidays, a slight later release would mean, that it misses one region with christmas-sales. But I on the other hand take the risk, that Sony and MS don't release their next-gen offerings in 2013. That would bring the Wii-U a second holiday of sales, I think that makes reaching the milestone easy. I think the risks are well balanced between us.
So, if you want to stay to your claim, we can bet, if the Wii-U will have reached 15M worldwide sales according to VGChartz, as the next-gen console of Sony or Microsoft is released. If the price is above 350 €/$ or below 250 €/$ in US or Europe, the bet is off. We make a thread about the result, and the loser has to link to this thread with a statement like 'xxx was right' in his sig for say 3 months. That is better than ... a penis-avatar. What do you say?
