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Logic says the Hobbit should easily win. The Return of the King outgrossed the dark knight by over 100mil and it came out 5 years prior. So adjusted for inflation it outsold it by a lot more. You also have to take into account that the hobbit will be in 3d while, correct me if im wrong, the dark knight rises won't be so average ticket price will be much higher. 

But then again... Return of the King came out nearly a decade ago. And theres no doubt that without the Lord of the Rings name, many of the more casual viewers won't realize this movie is the prequel to the lord of the rings and might chose to ignore it.

Spider Man might also sell near 1bil, but I don't think any of the other movies will approach 1bil.