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thx1139 said:

So taking America numbers for 2009

Console Wii PS3 X360
America
10,084,464
4,700,467
5,419,409

The analys sees

Wii at 8,000,000
PS3 at 5,100,000
360 at 4,900,000

In America in 2010 without any price changes and we know that the 360 will have a price change.

360 will be at ~5,200,000 if it falls 5%.