By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - When will PS3 Surpass Xbox360?

Hey Crazzy, while your at it -

Name ONE game in the united states that sold more than 150,000 first week for the PS3.

Because I can think of atleast 2 other 360 games that did, and none for the PS3.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

Around the Network

I feel Mr.stickball laid everything out rather fairly and pragmatically. He even adressed the validity of putting spins on future predictions, I'm surprised that people feel there is anything left to say in this thread after a pretty all encompassing round up of the facts, rumors and misconceptions. Please don't try and put a spin his post with a, "Well we still don't know how the future will be" because he not only already adressed the weight of such thinking that but stated it himself a multitude of times in disclaimer of several points. The only thing future debate here is going to establish is who is the better Miss Cleo. I don't know if you're going to get much more water out of this stone.



gotta love fanboy's creative imagination!
they can twist every single facts to defend ps3 sales.
what make them think ps3 can have a bigger price drop than xbox360 to close in the price gap???
just because it cost $600 dollar and the 360 cost $400 that dont mean sony got a bigger margin to drop a larger price. what kind of bs is that??
you think the most cash company in the world cant afford to drop price with the same amount to counter any sony price drop???

the only way ps3 will take lead is if they drop it to $300 price and by then sony must still got the full support of developer to create exclusive games, but I dont see these situation is possible. 3rd party wont wait this long.



mrstickball said:
And here are facts:

The X360 is at the same differential of the PS3 in sales from any other point. The 360 has around (give or take 200k or so), 6.5m units.
6.5 - is nothing in console market. FACT.

For any argument of a Sony fanboy saying MGS, DMC, FFXIII, Drakes, Lair, Heavenly Sword, or any big-budget title that will make the PS3 sell well (which I won't argue), the 360 has the same quality AAA games.
What exclusive x360 games are same quality, as ps3 games?

Therefore, any game you say, can be easily renounced by the 360. Both systems are dead even in terms of games.
Yeah, sure. Just like x360 games - Trusty bell, ace combat 6, Kane & Lynch and etc.

So your going to have to find a reason that consumers are going to randomly buy 6.5m more PS3s than 360s over a decent timeframe.
Over 5 mln. fans of MGS, over 7 mln. fans of FF, over 8 mln. fans of GT and etc.

Also, it's a near mathmatical impossiblility, that at ANY point in 2007, that the PS3 will ever cut their 6.5m deficit by any major number by the end of the year.
Depend on many factors. Time will show.

If anything, as numbers are showing, the 360 is leading, and will well into 2008, until, at a minimum, FFXIII launches and attempts to revive a Playstation brand in Japan.
Probably. Well GT5 prologue may help too. As Tekken 6.

Until that point, sometime in mid-2008, your not going to see any sort of major sales.
Just like ps2, first year 10 mln. second and third 20 mln. each.

I'm going to paint a bleak picture for you: Christmas 2007 won't go well for Sony. Trends are showing that the PS3 is continuing to slide Dreamcast and GC style that are going to severly inhibit major sales of the PS3 globally against a much more fit Wii and 360. The #1, and only real reason is price.
Priceut may help, some people just wait to buy ps3 for 499$.

IF Sony doesn't drop the price, it's very unlikely that consumers will just suddenly buy 3-4m PS3s globally in November and December, when the 360 will get a price cut, and the Wii will maintain it's brisk sales.
Novemeber-Decemebr x360 in usa made 2 mln. Just thnx to gears. PS3 will have much more AAA titles by this autumn. Now add Japan and Europe.

In all reality, the 360 could beat the PS3 2:1 globally this holiday. 
With price cut, maybe. Without it, no way.

From there, where do fanboys think the PS3 can recover from such a low position rapidly? I'm not saying it's impossible, and most likely will happen. But to assume that Folk Soul, NGS, Uncharted, KZ, MGS, DMC4, or any title (except maybe FFXIII) is going to revive the Playstation 3, and exalt it to heaven is just as idiotic as the X360 fanboys assuming that Blue Dragon was going to make the X360 viable competition in Japan against everyone, and give it consistant sales.
x360 is now doing 2 times better in japan, then in 2006. =)) People complain about price and no games. Whats is x360 excuses for low sales?

Just like Gundam Mousou, any game that comes out will help it's platform, but not in a major way. It's difficult for a GAMER to justify an insane $600 when the Neo Geo was out, and the same for the Playstation 3.
Each AAA game will make a 600$ console worth it`s money. FACT.

You can't just always say "oh, the 2nd half of 2007, ect will trend better, and it'll revive the system". Don't get me wrong, it'll do better. But even if it does 100% better (which is very unlikely), that STILL equals sales of 100,000 a week! Do you think those numbers, although better, are meaningful against a 360 that ALREADY sells near 100k a week NOW with the same quality of titles coming out in Q3 and 4?
I think, that till september sales of PS3 wont grow really much. But due september-october may grow twice.

A good example is the 360 in 2006: it trended as being strong in 2006 Q1, and started slowly declining in Q2 and mid Q3. Even when the supposed major titles came, in N3, Saints Row, Splinter Cell, Dead Rising, million-seller Madden 07, and the other major titles came, hardware didn't really do any better.
Those games are just averages, except maybe DR. Madden - amercian game, so all who wanted to buy x360 for that game and other american games, already had bought x360.

It was November, when retailers started offering $50 and $100 discounts on the system, that sales started majorly picking up, and sold very well. If Sony cannot match what MS did last year (with a price drop, or atleast some incenives), I fail to see where in the world a much more expensive system would trend better than a much-cheaper system.
600$ system in first 6 month worldwide is dooing same as 400$ system, don`t you see that?

Also, saying Home will sell systems makes as much sence as a content upgrade for Oblivion will move hardware: It's idiocy at it's finest. No matter how popular it is, a virtual achivement area doesn't sell systems. Gamerscore was, and is still huge on the 360, and hundreds of sites are dedicated to tracking and informing people of gamerscore. Did gamerscore sell ANY 360s? No. It made for people renting quite a few games from Blockbuster, but that was the length of MS's marketing genious. When your trying to copy something like gamerscore/achivements, or Wii Waggle with the Sixaxis, any sort of advantage the predicessor had still remains, and your going to find that your thing only allows you to survive, not strive.
You can`t know.

I'm not trying to speak gloom and doom, but the reason everyone is so anti-PS3 sales is this: Sales for the PS3 suck. There is no way to extrapolate that the biggest console in history has only sold 3.5 or 3.6 million units well into it's first year.
Price+no games. Just like ps2 didn`t have much games.

When you try to justify sales using price, or any other reason, you are proving the system doesn't sell, because any and every thing is now a reason it won't sell. The only time that price justifies discussion about sales is IF and WHEN the price is lowered, but not before.
People are different, some people will pay 660$ to play just one game. Do you know how much MGS or FF or GT fans for sure won`t buy ps3 for they favourite games?

Give it up kids, leave your PS3 uber-sales behind, and come back in 2009 when it might have dug itself somewhat out of the hole it's in. Until then, you may play whatever games keep you company on that $600 behemoth you own.

It`s only 6 month passed. If after 18 month ps3 will be selling like x360 today, then ps3 is doomed, till then, it`s more then successful system for 600$ and not much games.


 



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

mrstickball said:
Hey Crazzy, while your at it -

Name ONE game in the united states that sold more than 150,000 first week for the PS3.

Because I can think of atleast 2 other 360 games that did, and none for the PS3.

With 6 mln sold PS3 in USA, sorry,  i can`t tell you that game.



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

Around the Network
CrazzyMan said:

6.5 - is nothing in console market. FACT. It is alot when you haven't sold a single console more than the 360 when the 360 was at 6.5m w/w.

What exclusive x360 games are same quality, as ps3 games? Mass Effect. Lost Odyssey. Banjo Kazooie 3. Eternal Sonata. Blue Dragon. Halo 3. Alan Wake. Left 4 Dead. Just off the top of my head.

Yeah, sure. Just like x360 games - Trusty bell, ace combat 6, Kane & Lynch and etc. Both systems have great games. My point was is that the 360 is no chump in terms of alternate content for games.

Over 5 mln. fans of MGS, over 7 mln. fans of FF, over 8 mln. fans of GT and etc. And declining. Each game you've stated has decreased in popularity over the PS2s lifetime. Whats preventing them from continuing their diminishing returns?

Depend on many factors. Time will show. Very correct. Time will show, but for now, the PS3 is losing to the 360 around 30k a week worldwide. It hasn't gotten any better since the PS3 launched in europe.

Probably. Well GT5 prologue may help too. As Tekken 6. Im sure both will, but both are mid-late 2008 games. By then the 360's lead could very well be much higher.

Just like ps2, first year 10 mln. second and third 20 mln. each. Okay. First year for PS3, 5m units. Second year, 10m. Thats still only 15m and the 360 will be at 15m by at latest, late 2007.

Priceut may help, some people just wait to buy ps3 for 499$. I agree, but is Sony going to drop the price soon enough?

Novemeber-Decemebr x360 in usa made 2 mln. Just thnx to gears. PS3 will have much more AAA titles by this autumn. Now add Japan and Europe. Like I said, the X360 didn't sell the units due to Gears. GRAW sold 1/2 the units of GOW (a big deal of units, fyi, which is around the same of the units that Lair, Drakes, ect, should do) and really didn't move a great deal of systems.

x360 is now doing 2 times better in japan, then in 2006. =)) People complain about price and no games. Whats is x360 excuses for low sales? No sustained J-games vs. PS3 and Wii. It also has to get out of the mire that was the xbox bomb.

Each AAA game will make a 600$ console worth it`s money. FACT. ...Like the AAA Neo Geo games sold tons of systems, right?

Those games are just averages, except maybe DR. Madden - amercian game, so all who wanted to buy x360 for that game and other american games, already had bought x360. And you make the assumption that magically every person that wants Lair, Uncharted, et all, doesn't own a PS3.

600$ system in first 6 month worldwide is dooing same as 400$ system, don`t you see that? Don't you see that unit sales are the same compared to a system the PS2 beat 6:1 last generation?

Price+no games. Just like ps2 didn`t have much games. The PS2 had great games to start with, and always had them + a great price. You have to have both to sell, the PS3 has neither, and looks to only have 1/2 of the puzzle later this year.

People are different, some people will pay 660$ to play just one game. Do you know how much MGS or FF or GT fans for sure won`t buy ps3 for they favourite games? And you assume that 100% of the people that buy these games aren't PS3 owners already? Even if those 3 games magically move 5,000,000 hardware units, thats still less than the lead the 360 has.

It`s only 6 month passed. If after 18 month ps3 will be selling like x360 today, then ps3 is doomed, till then, it`s more then successful system for 600$ and not much games. And in 12 months, the X360 will be selling like the Wii - your point?


 


 



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

Crazyman, I realize with Blue3 banned you feel a responsability to fill the void of Sony campaigning left in his absense but this is just going a tad far. There's nothing wrong in being an optimist but arguing to this extent with nothing more than your exagerated and sugar coated speculative opinions isn't winning any debates much ales this one. Seriously, Who are you seriously trying to convince? Us or yourself?

You're not saying anything that hasn't been bellowed a hundred times before in similar debates by Sony advocates and you're certainly not bringing anyone to your campaign with such a weak argument.



1. Crazy first off stop with the god dam quoting of 2 pages worth of text.

2.MGS3 sold 3 million copies thats a big drop off of 7 million care to explain?
3. PS3 is NOT doing as good as the 360 in the same year because up till april it was supplied constrained.
4. Very very few would agree that sony's lineup this year is as good as the 360's. Killzone 2 has a lot of undeserved hype to live up to considering the first sucked.
5. You cannot beat Bioshock, Blue Dragon, Halo 3, GTA4, Eternal Sonata, Mass Effect, Too Human, Lost Od, Splinter Cell, Fable 2, and Bango 3, Alan Wake and a number of high profile multi platform games. Not to mention whatever else they have up their sleeve since they haven't shown their cards yet like Sony.
6.Forze did 150 k in one week, one week, try to bash it again when it has more then 5 days to sell



The PS3 just doesn't have enough good games soon enough to satisfy the peeps like the PS2 did. In '01 the PS2 had plenty good exclusive games (Devil May Cry, MSG2, GTA III, Ico, FFX, SOCOM) to keep consumers happy. Now they have Motorstorm, MSG4... There's definitely more but I can't think of any right now. So yeah.



Has anyone else noticed how far in the future Sony is hyping games? Oddly enough Sony fans are interpetting this as meaning Sony will have the most AAA games when in fact the 360 and Wii have really had no need to flaunt their future endeavors due to their current success. The 360 has made little mention of anything that isn't an already confirmed franchize and the Wii is tight lipped on anything not comming out this holiday season. However the PS3 is laying out basically everything they can vaguely imply as a possible project sometime within the PS3's life time to quell fears it won't have the games to back it. There was a period in time when Sony couldn't stop talking about all the features the PS4 would have during the PS3's most uncertain days early in its launch.