depends on how long third party developers intend on trying to make the Wii a failure really.

It'll probably reach it, but I don't think it will get 50% lifetime. Price cuts to the PS3/360 will sparks sales tremendously, especially for Sony's system. They just need to drop it to a price point that is acceptable to the masses and not the technophiles and hardcores. It'll probably end up with around 40-45%, I think.

w3stfa11 said: It'll probably reach it, but I don't think it will get 50% lifetime. Price cuts to the PS3/360 will sparks sales tremendously, especially for Sony's system. They just need to drop it to a price point that is acceptable to the masses and not the technophiles and hardcores. It'll probably end up with around 40-45%, I think.

Well, 360 already is in 199€, and the price still isn't "acceptable to the masses".
Blu Ray won over HD-DVD, so Sony really can't push PS3 price under the profitable standalone players (BDA and Sonys other divisions may have something to say, if they'd try).
Developer support is moving for Wii and as we know, this system makes itself happen; more games means more customers -> more customers means more games.

If Sony and M$ would like to fight with price, they would need a pricut and fast (149/299?), before Wii supply jumps up and even then their sales boost could beat Wii until the supply jumps up.
In a pricewar, Wii would have advantage over PS3 and 360.

All i'm saying is, that if they want to put up a fight, they need to do it fast. After a certain point in market share, it's irrelevant what M$ and Sony are going to do, since after that point, Wii is the console of choice for the publishers.
After all, it's only about how appealing the product is for the consumer, and as i said earlier, the consumers already are more willing to pay more for Wii, than they are for 360. Besides, to a certain (huge) group of potential customers, Wii is the only console that has appeal to them, so the only problem Nintendo is facing with this group, is to get them pay for what they play (and apparently, it's working).

well going on averages of all three consoles sold thus far. The wii will reach 50% market share in 142 weeks, with wii's lifetime average of 337861 consoles sold per week, 360's 147204 sold per week and ps3's 154661 sold per week. The statistics lean more towards the Wii in recent times, and i'd predict it will happen this year.

To suggest that wii won't get to 50% market share is to totally disregard the sales history of this generation, and to be honest what better proof does anybody have?

I don't think it will happen in 2008, but definitely 2009.

^they way the wii market share is growing,it will make it in 08

Hmm, "45.4%" is what the Wii was at when I made this thread...

Many here replied saying it would NEVER get it *cough*eliasg*cough*.

Now what do you guys think?

^ still by the end of the year

around x - mas...

Possible but only if more 3rd party support is made on wii I don't think it will keep 50% lifetime...

^It wouldn't be hard to keep 50% once you get there, especially since public perception guarantees handicaps against the PS3 and 360 in this race.

The public doesn't care who makes the games. As long as the games are appealing, the public will buy them, 1st or 3rd party.