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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: W52, 2019 (Dec 23 - Dec 29)

Switch hit 1m YoY and only a few thousand from 4.5million! So close! Hopefully it'll beat 4.5 million this year. Pokemon so close to hit 3million by end of year. It's gonna take down Splatoon 2 and Smash in the coming weeks to become the top dog in Japan! But then of course Animal Crossing arrives which should challenge Pokemon. By end of this year Japan should have AC and Pokemon over 4 million, and Mario Kart joining Splatoon and Smash in the 3 millions, with Smash being close to breaking 4 million by then.

I wonder what global Ring Fit sales are for the year. 500k just in Japan, I gotta figure it'll be at 2 million globally. Selling quite amazing!



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RolStoppable said:
FarleyMcFirefly said:
when do the first 2020 week numbers go up?

Apparently not before next Wednesday, and presumably week 1 and 2 will be posted as combined figures.

thanks for the info!!!



1doesnotsimply

RolStoppable said:

Graph made by @hiska-kun who we miss here on VGC.

PS2, GBA, 3DS and Switch all launched in March, so this makes for good launch alignment. Switch is in good company and has the momentum to go above the GBA line in 2020 and close the gap to the 3DS by a bit (1m+).

Not on the graph is the DS because it's in a whole nother league.

The most interesting thing about this graph is that Switch started out near the bottom and has steadily grown faster than the other systems.  Also, all of the other systems would have had a price cut by now.  Switch is still growing and hasn't even had a price cut yet.  It should have a very long life.



It's chart time!!

Switch did amazingly this year. Here are some year's end tibdits I found along while I was updating my numbers to match with Famitsu 2018.

- Week 52 is the fourth highest selling one for the NSW and the third highest for the PS4

- The only week PS4 surpassed the NSW was W4 with 148 more units. Don't remember what happened that week (supply constrained maybe???) making this the winning as follows

   NSW: W1-3,5-52 (51 weeks)

   PS4: W4 (1 week)

- The marketshare on 2019 for the NSW was 79% and 21% for the PS4.

- The baseline increased compared to 2018, with NSW up 9,84% (from 35559 to 42339) and down 60,70% for the PS4 (from 17568 to 10993)

- YoY the NSW had an increase over more than 1m units while the PS4 reduced its units to 500k

- W51+W52 for both consoles are up compared to 2018's. From 487467 to 525753 for the NSW (an increase of 107,85%) and from 150861 to 188662 for the PS4 (an increase of 125,05%). Good job PS4. It screams for price cut to maintain those sales in the future weeks.

- Here are the weeks grouped by how much they sold each week compared to 2018 (first week number being 2019):

  <50k: NSW (18 vs 37 weeks), PS4 (48 vs 44 weeks)

  >50k & <100k: NSW (23 vs 7 weeks), PS4 (2 vs 5 weeks)

  >100k & <200k: NSW ( 6 vs 5 weeks), PS4 ( 2 vs 3 weeks)

  >200k & <300k: NSW ( 5 vs 2 weeks), PS4 ( 0 vs 0 weeks)

  >300k: NSW ( 0 vs 1 week), PS4 (0 vs 0 weeks)

Last edited by nero - on 08 January 2020

1 million up YOY is a nice result.
Hopefully this year is up once again; Animal Crossing should help a lot with that.



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Would like to see some LM3 WW numbers, but the holiday season seem to have given a nice needed boost looking at charts from France and this one. Pokemon is performing really well, thing it will become on of the best selling pokemon titles since it looks like it's having better legs than previous ones. Not to forget digital rate is pretty big with it.
Nice performance of RFA, could have done better but still pretty good that it is selling out.



RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:
1 million up YOY is a nice result.
Hopefully this year is up once again; Animal Crossing should help a lot with that.

Despite next to nothing being known about 2020 releases beyond March, we still have a bunch of interesting things to watch once the Japanese holiday season is over (so from week 3 onwards).

1. Switch Lite - What can the new SKU add to the weekly baseline.

2. Pokémon Sword/Shield has performed strongly and reverted the decline of Pokémon in Japan.

3. Luigi's Mansion 3 is showing good legs after a moderate debut.

4. Ring Fit Adventure is confirmed to be a hit. Due to its appeal outside of the typical gamer demographics, it carries potential to drive sales of the Switch hybrid SKU.

5. Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games has picked up steam after an abysmal debut. Because the actual olympic games don't happen until summer, this game will hang around in the lower regions of Famitsu's top 30 before it surges back up when its real time comes.

6. The usual evergreens can keep contributing and this is a very important factor because it means that the overall number of sales drivers for hardware has grown since a year ago instead of newer games replacing older ones.

Negative factors:

1. No game on the level of NSMBU Deluxe releases early in 2020, so Switch will have to ride 2019 releases and evergreens until Animal Crossing.

2. Brain Training was given too much of the token treatment by Nintendo, so it should be expected to be a non-factor quickly. Color me surprised if this game keeps showing up in Famitsu's top 30 in February.

3. Hybrid SKU still costs the same after ~3 years on the market, so over time it has to become increasingly more challenging to maintain sales levels from previous years. The hybrid SKU has sold 3.2-3.5m units in 2017, 2018 and 2019.

Really can't say that when we usually get a january direct.



So the PS4 discount promotion is still going I take it?



Too bad the 4.5M mark was just missed by a hair

RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:
1 million up YOY is a nice result.
Hopefully this year is up once again; Animal Crossing should help a lot with that.

1. No game on the level of NSMBU Deluxe releases early in 2020, so Switch will have to ride 2019 releases and evergreens until Animal Crossing.

Well, there's Tokio Mirage Sessions, but that's not nearly as big as NSMBUD. However, it could help to keep the sales afloat. New shipments of Ring Fit Adventure would certainly do the trick however, considering how well it's selling and how supply constrained it is. And Luigi's Mansion 3 seems to be a big hit in Japan, too, so those two titles alone could nullify the NSMBUD/Smash early year boost from last year. And then there's Pokemon...

So yeah, I think the Switch will start growing a small gap right off the gate and then grow it a lot bigger once Animal Crossing releases.



curl-6 said:

So the PS4 discount promotion is still going I take it?

It lasted until January 5th