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How many more Switches will be sold by year's end?

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How many more Switches will be sold by year's end?

5 Million 6 8.70%
 
6 Million 1 1.45%
 
7 Million 4 5.80%
 
8 Million 5 7.25%
 
9 Million 3 4.35%
 
10 Million 17 24.64%
 
11 Million 13 18.84%
 
13 Million 11 15.94%
 
15 Million 5 7.25%
 
17 Million 4 5.80%
 
Total:69

10-12 million. Switch Lite is going to be quite the big hit for parents this holiday season.



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OK, you two jokers. Just 5 million?



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Cerebralbore101 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

I'm assuming you mean Q4 of 2019.

It will definitely be a lot.  I voted 15m, but that assumes Nintendo keeps every location in good supply.  I wouldn't be surprised if they are supply constrained instead and fall short of the 15m.

I was asking how many sold during the holidays last year. 

I read it exactly the same way he did, Haha. No idea why, it was pretty clear.



Just an old man, a family man, and a gamer. My family is more important to me then life itself. 

I said ten, but that's actually the floor here, I could see them reach maybe 12 millions with a bit of lucky Pokémon success !



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

kirby007 said:
JRPGfan said:

No way it does that much in oct,nov,dec.

9-10m, is the "reasonable" vote.
13m, is the highly optimistic vote.
15m+ is the borderline crazy vote, imo.

Its going to outsell ww totals for the ps4 in 2020

You are saying the switch will sell 80m+ between now and the end of next year if the PS4 hits 120m ww Ltd by end of next year 



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I think 10m is the Absolute minimum, a safe bet for me is 12m with the lite and Pokémon



Jpcc86 said:
Cerebralbore101 said:

Yeah that's a given. How could they not move the extra 5.1 million to surpass Xbox? MS is guaranteed 3rd place this gen. 

Is the X1 "this gen" tho? I thought this gen was X1, WiiU, PS4 and the Switch is the first of the following gen, paired with PS5 and *ejem*... Scarlett. 

Switch and Wii U can’t be the same generation since Switch is the console after the Wii U.

One console is Nintendo’s 7th generation console, and the other is Sony’s 4th generation. It just happens that Nintendo’s 6th and 7th generation consoles have some overlap/competition with Sony’s 4th generation console; but trying to mash them together into some fictitious unified generation is silly.



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I think this time it will pass 10M



Jumpin said:
Jpcc86 said:

Is the X1 "this gen" tho? I thought this gen was X1, WiiU, PS4 and the Switch is the first of the following gen, paired with PS5 and *ejem*... Scarlett. 

Switch and Wii U can’t be the same generation since Switch is the console after the Wii U.

One console is Nintendo’s 7th generation console, and the other is Sony’s 4th generation. It just happens that Nintendo’s 6th and 7th generation consoles have some overlap/competition with Sony’s 4th generation console; but trying to mash them together into some fictitious unified generation is silly.

General concensus says the Switch belongs to the same generation of other consoles as the PS4, XB1 (check wiki).
Also you can have 2 consoles into the same console gen cycle.

It depends on how you use the word generation.

1) Is it only a independent successor, to your own devices? gen1 is followed by gen2 ect.
2) Is it used as talking about a "group" that belongs to the same time periode? when you say generation?

Most when they talk about consoles generation, look at the overall picture, and talk about a "group" of consoles when they say a generation.
In that sense, its possible to have 2 consoles that belong to the same generation, if their shortlived while the others lasted longer (they excist in the same time periode).

Your "reason" for saying nintendo cant have Switch not be a generation ahead, is because your useing a differnt definition of the word Generation, than most others are.

Think about what "generation" means to people.
Usually theres a "timespan" of like 10-20 years, between the geneartions.

Why? because thats how long it takes a person to grow up, mature, and be able to have off spring.

So someone born at the start of a new generation, can be old enough to marry and have kids, while someone born at the end of a generation, while belonging to the same generation, might still be a kid in said generation. However they both belong to the same generation.

Its the same with a console generation.
The overall picture, of you & your competition at the same time periode = a generation.

Last edited by JRPGfan - on 05 October 2019

I'm ot a doctor, but I clicked 13m. Democracy, right?
Switch lite+Pokemon should tap a whole new demographic tbh. I expect a pretty decent holiday casual boost. It has been a pretty smart move on Nintendo's part, they have basically quietly slipped backed to a home console (hybrid) /dedicated hand-held enviromnent under one (very successful) branding with (speculatively) lower costs in R&D and manufacturing, due to the similar architecture, while also keeping software development streamlined by developing for 1 system instead of 2. =13m?The end.