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What's With The PS4 Sales Doubt?

Forums - Sony Discussion - What's With The PS4 Sales Doubt?

Where Do You Think The PS4 Ends?

100M-110M 13 11.61%
 
111M-120M 30 26.79%
 
121M-130M 40 35.71%
 
131M-140M 21 18.75%
 
141M-150M 5 4.46%
 
150M+ 3 2.68%
 
Total:112
Kristof81 said:

Based on the PS3 sales curve, 125M. Both systems show very similar curve, with PS4 having stronger first 3 years (vs its peak), but it also dropped by around 5% in last year or so, compared to PS3. So if we take PS3 sales curve from years 6 to 9, adjust it by -5% and plug PS4 numbers, we'll end up with around 125M by the end of 2022. Of course that's if PS5 releases in 2020 as it'd correlate with the PS4's time of release in PS3's lifetime. 

This is not 100% accurate because PS4 already surpassed PS3 by a mile, I think PS4, especially PS4 Pro, will be more enticing for gamers after PS5 launch than PS3 was after PS4, the PS4 has mooooore room for price cuts than PS3.

I think they will release PS4 Super Slim close before PS5.



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I predicted 141-150 M. 

 

  I think it will have stronger legs than the ps3.  I think it will have enough retention, especially if PS5 is $500+ out the door.  Backwards compatibility will have people buying it clear through 2024.



KingofTrolls said:
Kristof81 said:

Based on the PS3 sales curve, 125M. Both systems show very similar curve, with PS4 having stronger first 3 years (vs its peak), but it also dropped by around 5% in last year or so, compared to PS3. So if we take PS3 sales curve from years 6 to 9, adjust it by -5% and plug PS4 numbers, we'll end up with around 125M by the end of 2022. Of course that's if PS5 releases in 2020 as it'd correlate with the PS4's time of release in PS3's lifetime. 

This is not 100% accurate because PS4 already surpassed PS3 by a mile, I think PS4, especially PS4 Pro, will be more enticing for gamers after PS5 launch than PS3 was after PS4, the PS4 has mooooore room for price cuts than PS3.

I think they will release PS4 Super Slim close before PS5.

Yeah, definitely. With only one price drop yet, the diverse and stunning portfolio by the end of Its lifecycle AND the Pro now a thing, I have no doubts PS4 will have better legs than PS3 had, put in relation.



Errorist76 said:
KingofTrolls said:

This is not 100% accurate because PS4 already surpassed PS3 by a mile, I think PS4, especially PS4 Pro, will be more enticing for gamers after PS5 launch than PS3 was after PS4, the PS4 has mooooore room for price cuts than PS3.

I think they will release PS4 Super Slim close before PS5.

Yeah, definitely. With only one price drop yet, the diverse and stunning portfolio by the end of Its lifecycle AND the Pro now a thing, I have no doubts PS4 will have better legs than PS3 had, put in relation.

Not really sure how well Pro will lengthen the PS4's legs.  I think the drop to $199 will have the most effect.  Reason being, if the PS5 is B/C with PS4 games, I'm sure it will also provide the kind of results we get from the Pro.  And if the Pro is $299 when the PS5 launches, and that is $399, I just don't see people really picking up the Pro.  At that point, you might as well save up a little longer and just invest in the PS5.